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$BTC BTC: A Historic Indicator Suggests the Bottom May Be In — or Very Close One of Bitcoin’s more interesting cycle indicators is flashing a signal we’ve historically seen around major bottoms. Realized Price by Age tracks the average price at which different groups of Bitcoin last moved on-chain, giving us an estimate of their cost basis. The pink line represents BTC held for 3–6 months, while the blue line represents BTC held for 1–2 years. Historically, in 2015, 2019, and 2022, major bottoming phases began after the pink line crossed below the blue line. That crossover suggests newer holders are capitulating, realizing losses, and transferring their BTC into stronger, longer-term hands. We’re now seeing this crossover for the fourth time, with Bitcoin trading below the average cost basis of both groups. $ETH However, there’s an important caveat: Historically, this signal did not mark an immediate V-shaped reversal. Bitcoin often moved sideways for months while the market built a base and transitioned into an accumulation phase. $SOL That’s why I believe the current structure could be another bottom-formation and long-term accumulation period. I’ve been accumulating $BTC gradually within the $54K–$64K range for weeks, rather than trying to predict the exact bottom. For premium members, I’m sharing my buy orders in 5% increments in real time. Educational content only. Not financial advice. DYOR. #CPIToResetFedBets #AIInfraEarningsWatch #Gold4400HavenBid