$BTC $ETH $SOL Conclusion first We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30% Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back Let's all get rich together

$BTC Today, BTC market makers withdrew nearly 300m liquidity again, Adding liquidity at the high to let retail buy in, then withdrawing liquidity when it drops. It's obvious to everyone what their intentions are. Right now, the whole network is full of FOMO, Speaking the truth gets you scolded; everyone is caught up in emotions and beliefs. Let the bullets fly for a while, let time witness what will happen next

$BTC $BTC 📊 Bitcoin's view review from yesterday: Previously, a 6-8 hour level indicator divergence appeared, with a short-term support range of 77489-78480. If this is effectively broken, a significant correction will follow. The major defense level is at 72000. As long as this level is not breached, the overall bullish pattern remains unchanged. After a major drop, the current coin price is consolidating around 79800, forming a box structure. A two-hour level rebound is brewing; focus on whether the 30-minute cycle can produce a clear signal. Key resistance at the upper edge of the box: 80236 Next, pay close attention to the evening market to see if volume increases. Only with increased volume can it be determined whether the box will break upward or downward

$BTC Anomalous behavior during the rise: whales did not take the opportunity to sell —— Writing a long piece over the weekend, not sure if you want to read it... Actually, I wanted to keep it brief, but if I do, it won't be clear. Sigh... since I've written it, I'll just post it. The "BTC on-chain cumulative trend score" measures the direction of whale behavior on-chain over the past 30 days, whether it's net accumulation or net reduction. The calculation is twofold: first by scale, the larger the scale, the higher the weight (miners and exchanges are excluded); then by net change in balance, with accumulation scoring high and reduction scoring low. After weighting both, a score between "0~1" is assigned. Therefore, its weight heavily favors whales. A score close to 1 (black) basically indicates that entities holding thousands or tens of thousands of coins are accumulating. A score close to 0 (yellow) indicates two situations: whales are distributing, or whales are inactive. After understanding the algorithm logic, let's compare it with the data: The rebounds to 97,000 in January and 82,000 in May this year were both yellow, indicating that whales were net reducing while the rebound occurred. This is the standard structure of a bear market rebound. The price is pushed up by short covering and short-term funds, whales take the opportunity to sell, the rise lacks support, and the rebound ends. But this time, the rise from 60,000 to 80,000 is black, indicating that whales were net buyers over the past 30 days. Among the three rebounds, this is the first time the price rise coincides with whale accumulation. Of course, whale accumulation does not necessarily mean a bottom or a trend reversal. But at least it shows that this rally is structurally healthy.

$BTC It's almost impossible to drop back below 60k; at most, during a bull market rally, there might be a pullback with a range of 7.1-6.9, where there is strong support that is almost impossible to break. This is my view. If it does happen, you should be grateful and use all your resources to buy in. This is a second chance. In the next two years, Bitcoin is a certainty to rise and a guaranteed money-making opportunity—don't miss out! The ma120 and ma200 are both between 6.9-7k. If it comes down to that level, consider it a second chance from heaven, so be sure to cherish it!

$BTC BTC closed with a doji bullish candle this morning, mainly consolidating over the weekend. Today, I won't be watching the market, spending quality time with my parents, children, and loved ones enjoying family happiness. BTC is consolidating around 80K. A breakout above the 80K resistance would lead to a bullish structure with oscillating upward movement. There will be some small moves in the evening session. From the high to the low, the 0.618 retracement coincides with the 8.08 resistance, forming a resonance point where the rebound might encounter resistance and pull back. From the low to the high, the 0.618 retracement coincides with the 7.85 support, forming a resonance point where the pullback may trigger a rebound. BTC continues to show a bullish structure. Trump also stated during a livestream that the US government is increasing BTC purchases as a national reserve; meanwhile, market information also supports a bullish outlook. BTC can be bought on pullbacks, and buying on a breakout and stabilization above 80K is also viable; both buying on a breakout and stabilization above 80K and buying on a pullback to 7.85 are acceptable strategies! According to @CoinmarketCap data, BTC market dominance is 59.2%, up 0.35% $BTC

$BTC BTC Weekly Observation: Similar Structure, But Variables Remain Comparing the start of 2023 with the current trend, both show a rebound from a phase bottom, encountering resistance near the weekly SMA50 and then entering a pullback, with a certain degree of similarity in pattern. The core difference is that the current price is above the weekly SMA200 (whereas at the start of 2023 it was below SMA200), indicating a relatively stronger technical structure, and the September cycle node has also been brought forward. However, a similar pattern does not guarantee an upward breakout. The resistance at SMA50 shows that selling pressure above remains heavy. Going forward, it is crucial to observe whether the price can effectively stabilize near the bull-bear transition zone after the pullback without breaking down. Only with key support established can the structure be sustainable.

$BTC The wedge is the most common reversal pattern for BTC, and I won't allow you not to understand it! If you still can't immediately identify BTC's wedge, it means you're still a beginner. Because small swings can only capture 1R-3R, while major reversal structures can capture 10R+ Three key points about wedges that I consider: (1) They are only effective when appearing in a wide range; the wider the range and the larger the time frame, the more powerful the reversal impact; (2) A low-level wedge requires at least two pushes. A standard triple wedge is best accompanied by a pullback confirmation, making entry more attractive; (3) Rapid multiple pushes downward/upward within a trend cannot be considered a wedge! The attached images are from past market conditions and recent reversal candles I traded (of course, these are randomly selected 8H level charts, and you can find smaller timeframes everywhere) Image 1: August 4th ETH 8H level reversal wedge. Someone asked me why I was so bullish at the time? Image 2: June 30th BTC 8H level nested reversal wedge. An extreme reversal; although the later process was painful, holding on yielded a 20,000+ increase. Image 3: April 2025 BTC 8H retracement wedge. If you want to go long this year, look for this kind of wedge to get in. The essence of the wedge: a sign of trend exhaustion, multiple pushes have used up their strength. Although all my examples are bullish, the inverse triple push would be bearish.

$BTC $BTC The recent drop of Bitcoin near the weekend roughly aligns with the previous predicted rhythm. Yesterday, when the price fell to the 79300 support level, I chose to enter a long position. Now, having only gained a modest 300 points, I decided to close all positions and exit, not continuing to hold and bet on an upward breakout. From the market perspective, it is very clear that the dog whales are manipulating the market before the weekend. First, they slam the price down, then at the low point, they artificially hold the price steady with sideways consolidation. This operation is very likely a typical bull trap. Using the illusion of stable prices during the sideways movement, they attract a large number of bullish traders to enter and buy the dip, absorbing retail traders' long positions over these past two days. Currently, the price is stuck around 79500, oscillating back and forth. This kind of consolidation is likely to continue until tomorrow night, after fully luring the bulls into the market. Then, the market will very likely turn down again, first testing the support strength around 79000‑78500. If the 78500 support cannot hold, the downside space will fully open, directly testing 77000. 77000 is a key defense level in the previous old consolidation range. Falling to this level may trigger a relatively strong rebound repair. However, this rebound is only a corrective move, not a new major rally. The rebound target is roughly in the 80500‑81000 range. I judge it will be difficult to truly break through the 81000 resistance. After that, a larger scale decline will follow.

$BTC $BTC Market Analysis Yesterday's view: 6-8 hour cycle resonance exerted strength, BTC broke through 82000, closely watching the 45-minute level pullback, 79600 is a good long opportunity. Impacted by the upward revision of non-farm payroll data, Bitcoin dipped to around 78600, then rebounded, current price is running near 79600. If 79600 can hold, the current strong trend can still be maintained; once broken, focus on the key lower range of 77489-78480. Currently, the 6-8 hour cycle has shown indicator divergence, macro interest rate hike expectations are heating up, the market pattern favors bears, it is not recommended to enter these two days, short-term risk is relatively high. If the 77489-78480 range is effectively broken downward, a considerable pullback will follow. The major level defense still looks at 70000-72000, as long as this is not breached, the long-term bullish pattern remains

$BTC Friends who haven't fully entered the position need not panic; there are clear guidelines for BTC's pullback entry points. Figure 1 shows the liquidity cycle of realized market capitalization, where we can see that when the 30-day liquidity cycle index rises from the long-term zero axis, it indicates leaving the bear market bottom area (red area in Figure 1). When it returns to the zero axis again, that marks the last entry point in the early bull market (black line in Figure 1), usually offering one or two opportunities. Figure 2 shows the profit-loss ratio of unrealized profits for short-term holders, where we can see that when the index starts to leave the long-term loss area, it indicates leaving the bear market bottom range (yellow box in Figure 2). When it returns to the loss area again, it also marks the last entry point in the early bull market (blue circle in Figure 2), usually with one or two opportunities. Interestingly, these two indicators align perfectly in timing, so when they trigger simultaneously again, that is the best position to add to BTC on a pullback