This $BTC short position tonight got hit, but I admit it. CPI came out higher than expected, logically unfavorable for bulls, so I opened a short at 76928. BTC initially dropped, then suddenly surged. Luckily, I set a stop loss in advance this time, otherwise, with my old temper, I probably would have held on. This trade made me more certain of one thing: data can only tell you "how to interpret the market," it can't tell you "exactly how the market will move next second." CPI was hawkish, yet BTC rallied, indicating that current market trading might involve not just rate cut expectations, but also positions, liquidity, and sentiment. So this time, I won’t make excuses. If the direction is wrong, admit it; if stopped out, exit. Take the hit and stand firm; the market is always bigger than your judgment. I used to fear stop losses the most, but now I feel that being able to stop loss and exit is what qualifies you to wait for the next opportunity. Respecting the market is truly not just a slogan.

$SNDK this stock, I really got educated back and forth by it. Previously, shorting around 1688 got reversed, this time I switched direction, went long at 1740, but ended up hanging on the tree again. Now it's at 1684, with a low touching 1674. I have to say, SNDK's ability to kill both longs and shorts recently is really strong. Even if you pick the right direction, you might not make money; if your entry point is a bit off, you immediately start paying tuition. But this time, I'm not in a hurry to cut losses. From the 15-minute chart, there is temporary support around 1674, and the price is also approaching the BOLL middle band at 1686 again. If the short-term can reclaim 1695, the next targets are 1705-1720, and to truly get back to 1740, these resistance levels need to be overcome first. Conversely, if 1674 breaks down again with volume, then I can't get emotionally attached to the 1740 position anymore. My biggest feeling now is: when trading such high volatility stocks, the easiest mistake is not picking the wrong direction, but letting the previous trade affect the next one. Just because you lost on a short doesn't mean the next long will win. Whether this long at 1740 can help me break even, I won't guess for now; the market will give the answer itself. For this wave of $SNDK, is there anyone else getting cut repeatedly by it like me?

Yesterday I was still hesitating whether to short $IOST, and today it gave the answer directly. It dropped all the way from 0.0021997 to 0.00093. The faster it rises, the harsher it falls. Looking back now, the real danger is not the high price itself, but the sudden surge in trading volume after a sharp rise while the price fails to hold up. This is often more alarming than just a few points drop. So I increasingly feel that when trading altcoins, you can't just look at "how much more it can rise," you also have to see if there is support after the rise. This wave of IOST is a typical case of emotional acceleration; when it's hot, everyone thinks it can still surge, but when it weakens, you realize there aren't that many buyers to take over. Tonight at 8:30, the CPI is coming again. The real variable in the market now is not whether the data looks good or not, but whether it exceeds expectations. Yesterday's PPI has already shaken the expectations for rate cuts. If the CPI adds pressure, once BTC76000 breaks down, altcoins might continue to be drained. Tonight, I’m only watching two things: whether the CPI exceeds expectations or not, and whether $BTC 76000 and $ETH 2380 can hold. This time with IOST, did you short early or got stuck at the high again?

#OKX预言家：Come to the planet to play predictions On September 12, esports HLE vs T1, the current odds are about 60:40, with the market clearly favoring HLE. But I actually don't want to go all in. The reason is simple: the two teams just played a BO5 on September 2, with HLE winning 3:2 over T1. This time the market giving HLE the advantage has largely already priced in the expected outcome of this match. My approach: 🟡 HLE: 60% position ⚫ T1: 40% position But what really makes me hesitate is that T1 just took down DK 3:1, so their form isn't bad. So for this match, I'm more focused on "who can drag the BO5 into the decider." If HLE starts strong, the 60% odds might not have much room left; conversely, if T1 takes the first game, market sentiment could quickly reverse. My prediction: HLE 3:2 T1. Not going all in, keeping some bullets in reserve. The most interesting thing about esports is: when the odds seem most certain, that's often when it's easiest to get carried away.

$BTC Last night’s trade was relatively comfortable. Bought long at 77680, took profit near 79000, almost didn’t get fully filled, but it was enough. Interestingly, after pushing to 79000, it didn’t continue upward, instead it dropped all the way back to around 77600. At this range, I’m not in a hurry to guess the direction. 79000 above is resistance, 77600 below is support. My understanding is: this kind of position easily gets people hit from both sides; chasing the rally risks buying into resistance, chasing the drop might just hit the support. So from now on, I’m only watching one thing—whether 77600 can hold. If it holds, the range is still playable; if it doesn’t, don’t force it, wait for the next support level. Brothers, $IOST has been quite strong these past two days, Is it a good time to chase long now? 🙃

$BTC has again touched around 80,000, but I actually want to wait for a short at 80,300. Currently, BTC is around 79,800, just pulled back from the low point; the market isn't actually weak. But I think the real concern isn't whether it will drop now, but whether there is enough relay capital above 80,300. From the 4-hour chart, the area around 80,000 has been tugged repeatedly, and the previous high at 80,550 hasn't truly held. The Bollinger middle band is near 80,000, and the upper band is roughly at 80,350, indicating short-term upward pressure is already being met. So my thinking is simple: If it continues to surge and even touches 81,000, I will actually focus on shorting opportunities. Not because I think BTC will crash immediately, but if this round lacks new news stimuli and the price is pushed up solely by sentiment, 81,000 can easily become a position that "looks strong but actually has heavy selling pressure." Of course, if 81,000 breaks out with volume and holds, I will admit I'm wrong and won't fight the market. The worst thing in trading isn't being wrong, but trying to prove you're right after being wrong.