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BTC CALLER
Today’s NFP data gave the bears some ammunition, but I wouldn’t front-run the next move yet.
162K jobs came in above expectations, unemployment held at 4.1%, and September rate-hike expectations strengthened again.
Naturally, that creates short-term pressure for $BTC and $ETH.
But the market still has several major catalysts ahead.
PPI.
CPI.
FOMC.
These events will tell us much more about whether inflation is actually becoming a problem again or whether today’s reaction is simply temporary positioning.
The levels I’m watching are straightforward:
$BTC → $78.6K
$ETH → $2,428 and $2,400
As long as those areas hold, I don’t see enough confirmation to aggressively call for a deeper bearish trend.
A strong CPI print combined with rising Treasury yields could change that quickly.
But if inflation cools and rate-cut expectations return, buyers could recover today’s losses faster than many expect.
For now, my bias is cautious:
Weak and volatile early week.
Direction becomes clearer around CPI.
No need to predict the move before the market gives confirmation.
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