Publikovat

SPCX's first financial report will be released, with hundreds of billions of dollars unlocking imminent 1. Fundamental Core Contradiction At the initial listing stage, SPCX's circulating chips were extremely scarce, relying on narrative and passive index funds to generate a premium. After market close on August 4, the first financial report since listing will be released, and on August 6, the first large-scale unlocking will occur, with nearly 911.5 million shares unlocked, corresponding to chips worth hundreds of billions flowing into the market. Early primary investors have very low holding costs and a strong willingness to realize profits. Unlocking ≠ immediate concentrated selling, but it completely breaks the core speculative logic of "chip scarcity." 2. Direct Impact of the Financial Report 1. The financial report is a valuation verification checkpoint The market focuses on Starlink revenue, user growth, overall group loss magnitude, and capital expenditure plans for Starship and xAI. • Data significantly exceeds expectations: short-term boost to bullish confidence, alleviating panic; but difficult to fully offset the supply pressure from the hundreds of billions unlocking, the rebound is a repair rally with sustained selling pressure above. • Data meets expectations: lacks new positive catalysts, funds trade the unlocking bearish news in advance, market remains weak and volatile. • Performance below expectations, losses widen: valuation logic suffers a double blow, bears intensify efforts, likely accelerating the decline. 2. Sentiment reacts in advance Before the financial report release, funds adopt a wait-and-see attitude, volatility continues to rise, bulls and bears intensify battles, prone to wide-ranging back-and-forth spikes, making it difficult to form a stable one-sided trend. 3. Medium- to Long-Term Impact of Hundreds of Billions Unlocking $SPCX