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The time for a market shift is approaching. If it doesn't break 8.5, I guess there's a high chance it will reach 9.x, making the whole world think the bull market is back and chase longs. This will make those waiting to get in anxious. Then it will adjust down by 20-30 points, killing off the bulls, and then go back up! The script is already written!$API3 surged 24% in 24 hours, reaching a high of 0.3933 before quickly pulling back.
CVD shows sell orders (768k) significantly exceed buy orders (628k), indicating bears are indeed exerting pressure.
Coupled with the whale Humpy pressuring Compound's governance scandal, the sentiment is bearish.
Can you short it? Yes, but never blindly.
Having just experienced a vertical surge, it is now in the early stage of a high-level pullback. Current price is 0.3648, with the nearest support below at 0.33, then 0.30 further down.
If you short directly now, a wick could trigger a liquidation of low-leverage positions, resulting in a very poor risk-reward ratio.
Contract strategy:
Do not chase shorts; wait for a rebound to test the 0.38 to 0.39 resistance zone. When volume is low and price stagnates, open a light short position on the right side.
Set a tight stop loss just above 0.40 (above the previous high of 0.3933).
Target first 0.33, if broken then 0.30.
Use leverage within 10x, build positions in batches. If volume breaks above 0.40, stop loss immediately, indicating the market maker intends to force a short squeeze. 🔥 A position of 152 million U is not scary? What really makes your scalp tingle is that it is still continuously burning funding fees.
🧨 Brother Maji currently has full long positions in BTC, ETH, and HYPE. BTC 40X, ETH 25X, HYPE 10X, all highly aligned in direction: as long as the market continues upward, the profit elasticity of this portfolio is terrifying; but if the trend reverses, the risk will also be magnified multiple times.
💰 BTC holding 467 coins, average price 84883.40 U, unrealized profit about 828,300 U; ETH holding 34,000 coins, average price 2688.95 U, unrealized profit about 1,493,800 U; HYPE holding 175,000 coins, average price 89.74 U, unrealized profit about 145,000 U
👑 Among them, ETH is absolutely the core of the core, with a position value close to 93.33 million U, accounting for the majority of the entire portfolio. If this position catches a trend rally, the profit potential is naturally very considerable, but holding it also requires extremely strong capital endurance.
🩸 Here comes the harshest detail: BTC funding fee about 43,200 U, ETH about 1,252,000 U, HYPE about 72,000 U. In other words, if the market does not move, he still does not have zero cost.
⏳ This is the most realistic side of a large position: being right in direction is only the first step; whether one can hold on under the dual pressure of volatility and funding costs until the target is equally important.
👀 Do you think this is an early setup for a big market move, or has the risk already been pushed to the limit? #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 The first time I bought crypto was the winter before last year.
A colleague mentioned during lunch that $BTC can hedge against inflation.
I went home and bought some.
The next day after buying, the price started to drop.
It dropped so much that I kept getting distracted at work.
Later, I sold it off.
A few days after selling, it bounced back up.
I smoked a cigarette in the stairwell.
Then I slowly learned on my own.
No borrowing money.
No going all in.
No high leverage.
Only buy some $ETH when I have spare cash.
If the fees are high, I wait.
If cheap, I transfer.
I check the address three times before transferring.
One shaky hand could lose everything.
I also tried $SOL.
It’s really exciting when it’s fast.
When it’s congested, I want to smash my phone.
Now I don’t chase hot trends anymore.
I watch new projects for a few days first.
If I don’t understand, I don’t touch them.
Calls to buy in the group are jokes.
If I make money, I take some out to have a good meal.
If I lose, I treat it as tuition.
I write private keys on paper.
Hide them in old books.
Only keep pocket money on exchanges.
Put big holdings in cold wallets.
Look less, move less.
Being able to sleep well is better than anything.
Opportunities come every day.
If the principal is gone, it’s really gone.
Just endure slowly.
No rush. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% $MUBARAK has already earned several thousand U just from this one line. Before going to sleep today, I placed a multi-order online at position 0.067777, with the stop loss set just below the line. It has never dropped below the line. Who knew, I thought it would only break below 7 to 6 at night. Taking a nap automatically helped me gain 700 U. Thanks to the dog dealer.$BTC's current market shows a clear divergence in trends. The 10-year US Treasury yield continues to rise, reaching 5.31%, with long-term rates remaining high, yet this has not suppressed the AI technology sector. The Nasdaq, driven by Nvidia and Microsoft, surged to new all-time highs. Capital is prioritizing assets with strong earnings certainty in computing power, resulting in an independent market trend. Crude oil has retreated, with WTI crude falling over 2%. The G7's release of supply-related expectations has eased market concerns about energy inflation, somewhat reducing the pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue aggressive tightening. CME data shows the probability of maintaining rates unchanged in October has risen to 77.3%. Gold is oscillating upward, currently at $4153.54 per ounce, as the tug-of-war between high US Treasury yields and safe-haven demand increases volatility. With just one week left before the new US earnings season, the market is currently trading on expectations; earnings reports will be the key litmus test for whether tech stocks can continue to strengthen. In the short term, US Treasury yields remain the biggest risk variable. If long-term yields continue to break higher, high-flying tech sectors may face profit-taking. If crude oil rebounds again, it could reignite inflation concerns, leading to rapid market expectation adjustments. From an operational perspective, it is not advisable to blindly chase AI high-level targets; it is better to wait for earnings reports to verify profit realization, while continuously monitoring the two major macro indicators: US Treasury yields and oil prices. $PI Protocol 28 community Docker image (1.58 GB) is here. Node operators: update by Oct 13 or risk desync when mainnet flips on the 16th. More infrastructure grinding while real utility still lags.
$ BTC user count was monopolized by an octopus
【Fictional Mini-Drama】
At a BTC gathering by the sea, Octopus Amo wore eight different patterned rain boots and strolled around the beach.
The person in charge of preparing meals saw eight different shoe prints and immediately ordered eight boxed lunches.
Amo, smelling the food, felt a bit embarrassed: "I just have many shoes, I didn't bring that many friends."
Looking at on-chain data, don't directly translate the number of addresses into the number of holders. One person can control multiple BTC addresses and use new addresses for different receipts; conversely, one exchange address may aggregate funds from multiple users.
So, while an increase in new addresses is worth observing, you can't conclude that the same number of new investors have appeared based solely on this number. There is no one-to-one conversion table between the number of addresses and the number of people.
Some analyses group addresses suspected to be controlled by the same entity into one "entity." This is a step beyond simply counting addresses, but it is still limited by identification methods, and an entity does not automatically equal a natural person.
First, clarify what exactly the chart is counting before adding an exclamation mark to the conclusion.
In the end, Amo canceled seven of the meals and seriously added: "There is indeed new demand today, but the new demand is for rain boots, not for food."
#BTC #OnChainData #CryptoJokesETH ecosystem tools: Not readable does not mean non-existent
At 20:59 Beijing time on October 3, Coinbase's AgentKit repository received a fix proposal: when some local test chains or custom chains do not have the Multicall3 address configured, reading ERC-20 data will report an error.
The original process queried the name, decimal precision, and balance together; if the required configuration is missing, the query might return "Unable to fetch token details" before even sending the request. This does not prove the token does not exist, nor should it be directly treated as a zero balance.
The proposal's solution is: when encountering this specific error, switch to three separate calls to read each item independently; other errors are still handled by the original logic.
It's somewhat like trying to shove three pencils bundled together into a single-hole pencil sharpener. The entrance doesn't accept the whole bundle; it needs to be separated for proper handling. There's no need to declare "there are no pencils in this world."
As of this review, the proposal has not yet been merged. This is a compatibility patch for development tools, not an ETH mainnet upgrade, nor does it mean all wallets are affected.
My view: No matter how smart the AI assistant is, it must connect the tools correctly before reading data; don't let one error message impersonate your balance sheet.
#ETH #AI #OnChainTools 🔥 Don't just focus on the unrealized profits in Brother Maji's account; that's just the surface. What really matters is how much risk he is actually taking on.
💣 The total position value is about 152 million U, with full long positions in BTC, ETH, and HYPE. At this scale, it's no longer a simple short-term gamble but a massive bet on the continuation of the market trend.
📈 For BTC, there is a 40X full position of 467 coins, opened at 84883.40 U, with current unrealized profits of about 828,300 U. It seems there's still some distance from the liquidation price of 66952, but the biggest feature of a 40X full position is that the risk doesn't just stay at the "single margin" level; the margin for error is very limited in volatile markets.
🔥 The truly heavyweight main position is ETH. A 25X long of 34,000 coins, opened at 2688.95 U, with a position value of about 93.33 million U and unrealized profits close to 1,493,800 U. In other words, his largest stake is placed on ETH's subsequent recovery.
🎯 HYPE is a 10X full position of 175,000 coins, opened at 89.74 U, with unrealized profits of about 145,000 U. Although the leverage is lower, the volatility is higher, so both elasticity and risk coexist.
🩸 Even more staggering are the funding fees: about 43,200 U for BTC, about 1,252,000 U for ETH, and about 72,000 U for HYPE.
⚠️ So this is not simply a "long position winning big" but a triple game of time, direction, and funding costs.
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 BTC Lightning payments, don’t push the abacus beads all the way first
【Fictional Mini Drama】
A Yan uses a single-rod abacus to study Lightning channels, sliding all the beads to his side, and proudly declares: "Fully prepared, just waiting to get paid."
He even stuck a note on the empty half-rod on the right: "Please actively deposit."
Here’s the problem: all the beads are on the left, so what can the right side slide over next?
In a Lightning channel with fixed capacity, the local balance mainly supports outgoing payments; receiving funds requires the other side to have balance to transfer over, i.e., corresponding inbound capacity. Just because "I have a lot of BTC" on my side doesn’t automatically create more receiving space.
Spending some balance through the channel moves the balance to the other side, freeing up receiving space. But whether you can actually receive depends on routing, online status, and channel restrictions.
This is about Lightning channels, not ordinary on-chain BTC addresses; don’t directly read your wallet’s total assets as Lightning receiving capacity. Specific wallets may handle some liquidity arrangements for you.
A Yan tore off the note and changed his line: "I’ve worked hard to have money, next lesson is to learn which side the money stands on."
#BTC #LightningNetwork #CryptoJokes 🔥 Big Brother Maji is really putting all his chips on the table this time! A full-position long order of 152 million U, this is no longer just "bullish" in the ordinary sense, it’s more like betting on the entire cycle.
💰 The three main positions are BTC, ETH, and HYPE, all in full-position mode. The most extreme is ETH, 25X long on 34,000 coins, opened at 2688.95 U, currently floating profit of about 1.4938 million U, position value close to 93.33 million U, almost carrying more than half the weight of the entire portfolio.
🚀 BTC is no light hitter either, 40X full-position long on 467 coins, average price 84883.40 U, floating profit over 820,000 U. 40x leverage means once the direction is right, the returns are magnified astonishingly, but conversely, sharp volatility also quickly amplifies risk.
⚡ HYPE is 10X full-position on 175,000 coins, average price 89.74 U, floating profit about 145,000 U. The leverage is relatively lower, but HYPE itself is more volatile, more like a high-elasticity position.
🩸 The real harsh part isn’t the leverage, but that all three positions are continuously bearing huge funding fees: BTC about 43,200 U, ETH about 1.252 million U, HYPE about 72,000 U.
👀 The final showdown of this high-stakes gamble may not be who predicts correctly, but who can hold out the longest. Do you think this set of positions will end up a masterstroke or a high-level stress test? #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $OFC delisting is already a done deal. The project team, without any achievements, airdropped at least $10 or more to every wallet, causing nearly 30,000 new wallets on the chain in one day. Those who received the airdrop immediately dumped the coins on the market to cash out. The most foolish project team failed to achieve any positive effect and instead killed the price of their own coin. Let's witness together how $OFC slowly destroyed itself and got delisted. Brothers, empty empty empty the palace... 别急着把85K当成"稳住了"，这波更像情绪在硬撑。 你看到的是支撑，还是衍生品在悄悄给你下套？ 这两天看盘有个很微妙的感觉：大家嘴上说等确认，手却已经开始追。BTC在85.6K附近晃，下方85K到82K是支撑带，上方86.3K到87.3K是压力区。ETH在2.7K，支撑2.68K到2.62K，压力2.74K到2.81K。结构确实没坏，日线还算建设性，但真正的问题不在图上，在杠杆里。 我翻了一圈合约数据，发现一个容易被忽略的细节：这轮反弹里，永续合约的未平仓量在往上走，但现货成交量没跟上。意思是，推价格的是合约多头，不是真金白银的买盘。这种结构下，价格越靠近压力位，越容易触发两种剧本。一种是假突破后急杀，把追多的人洗出去。另一种是资金费率转负，空头挤压，反而把价格推过87.3K，打开去90K的门。 ETH那边更明显。2.7K这个位置，期权市场的隐含波动率在抬升，说明有人在押注大波动。但方向不明。如果BTC能站稳87.3K，ETH大概率会跟着测试2.80K，甚至把3K重新拉回叙事里。反过来，如果BTC在86.3K到87.3K之间反复被拒，ETH的2.68K支撑就会变得很脆弱，因为山寨的杠杆🔥 BTC now looks like a spring stretched to its limit, with $87,000 being the final pressure point.
📉 Three attempts, three resistances; this level has become a widely recognized strong resistance zone in the market. If the bulls fail to break through soon, the longer it drags on, the easier it is for profit-taking and trapped positions to create new selling pressure.
🧠 But one thing cannot be ignored: BTC's recent lows have not continuously hit new lows; instead, they show a gradual upward shift. This means the funds below have not completely withdrawn, the bulls are still holding, but there is a lack of strong buying power to truly push the price through.
🧩 Now the most interesting part — the price has reached the end of a triangular consolidation pattern. With $87,000 pressing from above and support steadily rising from below, the bulls and bears are entering a critical state. The space for continued slight fluctuations is becoming increasingly limited, and once a breakout occurs, volatility is likely to expand rapidly.
⚠️ Looking at the macro picture: the total crypto market cap has fallen back to about $2.93 trillion, but U.S. stocks remain strong; the Nasdaq 100 hits new highs, the S&P 500 approaches historic highs, yet the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has risen to 5.32%. This combination of "strong stocks, pressured bonds, and hesitant crypto" further increases the difficulty for BTC to break out.
🚀 Only a firm hold above $87,000 will open up the upside space; failure to break through and a drop below trend support should raise caution for a potential reversal.
💥 What do you think the next big move will be — up or down? #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$API3 short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.8739%, price -0.7%, open interest +0.38%. Decline and increased positions occur simultaneously; holding short positions through settlement at the current rate, the funding fee will lower the breakeven price.
$CT short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.0156%, price -1.04%, open interest basically unchanged. The decline is not accompanied by a significant increase in positions; holding short positions through settlement at the current rate, the funding fee will lower the breakeven price. OKX doesn't want to be just an exchange anymore; they're building a round-the-clock, AI-driven "super financial platform." Let me put it simply: what exactly do they want to do, and what is it for us: 1. What do they want to do? 1. Integrate "deposit, pay, invest, manage" into one device. In the future, on OKX, you can not only trade coins but also save money, transfer cross-border money like WeChat, invest in stocks and commodities, and even let AI help you with financial planning. Their slogan is: Hold it, Pay with it, Invest it, Grow it. 2. Let AI fully take over the experience. AI is no longer just a clumsy customer service robot. In the future, there will be "AI private banking advisors" who understand your assets and risk preferences, help you with investments, and even handle anti-fraud and compliance reviews—everything is handled by AI. Last month, AI bills cost $10 million, and 95% of the code was written by AI. 3. Fully embrace compliance and integrate into traditional finance. Previously, the crypto world and Wall Street were opposed, but now OKX wants to merge the two. They have secured investments from major global financial institutions (such as ICE and Standard Chartered Bank), hired Deloitte for global audits, and obtained licenses in many places worldwide. 2. What use is this for ordinary people like us? More convenient: No more switching between crypto circles, brokerages, and bank apps—one platform handles everything, transfers as fast and cheap as sending messages. Safer: Compliance plus Deloitte audits,$BTC is currently at 86066, with three medium-to-long-term scenarios laid out in front of us.
First, a direct volume breakout above the previous high of 87374, fully opening up the upside space. This is the ideal bullish scenario. For medium-to-long-term longs, wait to enter after firmly holding above 87400, confirming a valid breakout before taking action—do not prematurely bet on the breakout.
Second, failing to surpass the previous high and directly facing pressure to fall back, causing many low-position holders to take profits, combined with inflation data disturbances, leading to a medium-level correction. For medium-to-long-term shorts, watch for pressure signals around 87200; multiple failures to break this level serve as a reference entry zone for short positions.
Third, getting stuck oscillating back and forth within the large range of 84000‑87374, grinding the market with repeated shakeouts that wear down patience. Neither bulls nor bears make big profits; most of the time it’s just back-and-forth spikes.
Clearly define medium-to-long-term defense levels: the bullish bottom line is 83700. If the daily close falls below this level, the current upward trend is declared to be temporarily over—do not stubbornly hold long positions. On the bearish side, if the price firmly stands above 87400, decisively abandon bearish views and do not stubbornly cling to short bias.
Market sentiment is currently overheated; do not subjectively bet on one-sided moves. Wait for the market to choose a direction before taking action.
$BTC
#BTC medium-to-long-term three scenario analysis$BTC is stuck at 86,058.9 without moving, with a 24-hour change of -0.00% and a volatility of only 2.1%. The price looks stable, but the contracts side is bearish: the funding rates have been negative for three consecutive periods, at -0.0015%, -0.0025%, and -0.0016%. After negative funding rates, prices more commonly continue to weaken, so I don't consider this a short squeeze signal. The liquidations in the past 24 hours also align with this: longs were liquidated for $21.14 million, shorts for $12.89 million, with the longs taking the loss. Options haven't panicked, with DVOL at 35.8, put/call open interest ratio at 0.85, and volume at 0.78, indicating no rush for protection. I expect a slow grind down, with a short-term test of the 84,910 low, not a sharp drop. Whether the ECB cuts rates is a matter of months; a single statement won't change the rate path, and the market hasn't priced it in. The total stablecoin supply is $313.9 billion, with funds still on the market but no one willing to pay to go long. Conditions for a bullish reversal: funding rates turn positive and the price moves back above 86,683.9. If both occur, the bearish view becomes invalid. 🔥 $87,000, BTC is facing the test for the third time.
😎 It didn't pass the first two times; can it deliver this time? Since September 23, selling pressure has repeatedly appeared around 87,000. The bulls seem strong, but when it really comes to the critical point, the buying never manages a complete breakthrough.
📈 But don't rush to be bearish on BTC. A noticeable recent change is that the local lows after each pullback are rising. This means that although the bears can hold the price down, they haven't easily pushed it back to previous lows. The bulls and bears are actually entering an increasingly tense tug-of-war.
⚔️ Now, the price is near the end of the triangle. Above is horizontal resistance near 87,000, below is a rising support line. The distance between the two sides is narrowing, indicating that the real volatility could be more intense than the current grinding market.
🌍 The external market is also showing clear divergence: U.S. stocks continue to strengthen, Nasdaq 100 hit a new closing high, S&P 500 is less than 0.5% from its all-time high; but the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has surged to 5.32%, near the highest level since 2002. The high-yield environment for dollar assets is obviously not entirely friendly to BTC's upward push.
🚨 So don't guess now, wait for the market to show its hand. A break above 87,000 is bullish; a break below the rising support calls for caution against pullbacks.
💬 This gate at 87,000, do you think BTC can break through tonight? #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC surged back to 86000, AVAX rose by 4.5%, ZEC even soared by 5%, but $SOL is still stuck around 120, barely up by 0.48%, almost like no increase.
But don’t rush to criticize. I dug into the data today, and SOL is currently experiencing a "fire and ice" situation. The fire is on-chain: on October 3rd, the single-day DEX trading volume hit $3.06 billion, and ecosystem activity hasn’t slowed at all. The ice is the institutions: SOL spot ETF had a net outflow of $9.24 million in one day, and last week’s net inflow plummeted from $188 million to $2.43 million, shrinking by 99%. Institutional "slow money" is retreating, while on-chain "hot money" is still playing.
The key level to watch is 120. Holding 119-120 and reclaiming 122 would stabilize the short-term structure, with the upside target at 124-125. But if it repeatedly hits resistance between 120-122 and eventually breaks below 118, then 116-117 will be the last line of defense.
Right now, the bulls and bears are sharply divided. Do you think SOL can hold 120? Drop a comment to check if there are more bulls or bears!
#SOL #Solana #ETF #Cryptocurrency #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 Last day of the holiday, BTC at 862, ETH at 2714, SOL at 120, the whole day fluctuated less than $2,000, quiet like before a storm. Looking back at the entire holiday, from the low of 2850 to now, BTC has been grinding for six days straight, touching 8700 four times and getting smashed four times, but the bottom has been raised from 8250 day by day to 8600. It looks like it hasn't risen much, but the baseline has actually stepped up. This kind of consolidation is the most exhausting; the bulls are tormented repeatedly by upper shadows, the bears keep waiting for a pullback that never comes, both sides are consuming each other, and chips are fully exchanged at this level. Whoever runs out of patience first will be out. Tomorrow the holiday ends, the day after A-shares open, and this week is also a full trading week for US stocks. All funds will be back in place, the sideways window is basically closed, and the direction will be chosen at any time. The script is still the same two: a volume breakout to eat through 8700 aiming for 90,000, or first a pullback to 8584-8585 to gather strength. No matter which way it goes, no need to panic. The spot buy orders remain hung; if it really drops, it's a gift at a discount; if it really breaks through, wait for a pullback confirmation before chasing. Hands in pockets, let the market move first.G7 releases 100 million barrels, oil prices don’t crash, BTC doesn’t rise: Is the market simply not buying it?
The G7 announced releasing up to 100 million barrels of reserves, yet oil prices didn’t collapse, and BTC didn’t take advantage to rally. The market isn’t focused on the numbers but on whether the risks have been resolved.
Releasing reserves is just a buffer, not a cure. The supply shadow over the Strait of Hormuz remains, and the real uncertainty hasn’t disappeared, so oil prices naturally don’t fall deeply.
For BTC, the impact is twofold. In the short term, suppressed oil prices cool inflation expectations and marginally ease rate hike pressures, which is a small positive for risk assets. But reserves are just inventory relocation, not new production capacity. If geopolitical tensions escalate again, oil prices may rebound, inflation will return, and BTC will remain under pressure. The medium term is more subtle: the more aggressively reserves are released, the more it indicates countries’ buffers are thinning, exposing supply vulnerabilities.
On the charts, BTC is still tugging around 85,000, with 87,000 as resistance and 84,000 as support. The reserve release news can suppress oil prices but won’t change BTC’s range. To confirm a bullish trend, two signals are needed: oil prices continuing to fall and BTC breaking above 87,000 with volume. Missing either, don’t rush.
Strategically, don’t treat reserve releases as a charge signal. It only delays risk, not eliminates it. As long as the range isn’t broken, watching is safer than chasing. Geopolitical pricing power lies not in reserve numbers but in whether supply channels can reassure people.看一下FIL的15分钟K线，当前的下跌趋势已经没有之前那么明显，短线更像是在进行一轮小幅回调，后面不排除重新出现反弹。 但想了想，我还是决定先卖出。 原因很简单：这个币我并不熟，之前参与交易的次数也不多。 在自己没有足够把握的标的上，宁愿先降低风险，也不想为了博一个反弹继续硬扛。 行情每天都有机会，没必要为了不确定的走势一直持仓。 💡 看不懂的行情就少参与，能真正拿在手里的利润才算自己的。 $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱 #BTCETF连续三周保持资金净流入The first time I bought crypto was the year before last.
A friend said $BTC could hedge against inflation.
I believed it.
After buying, the price dropped.
It dropped so much I was checking my phone every day.
Later, I sold at a loss.
After selling, it went up again.
I was so angry I woke up in the middle of the night cursing myself.
Then I started figuring things out on my own.
No borrowing money.
No full positions.
No high leverage.
Only buy some $ETH when I have spare cash.
If the fees are high, I wait.
If cheap, I transfer.
Check the address three times before transferring.
A shaky hand could lose everything.
I also tried $SOL.
It’s really fast.
When congested, it’s really frustrating.
Now I don’t chase trends.
New projects are observed first.
If I don’t understand, I don’t touch.
Calls in the group are jokes.
If I make money, I take some out to eat barbecue.
If I lose, I treat it as tuition.
Write private keys on paper.
Hide them in old books.
Only keep small amounts on exchanges.
Put large holdings in cold wallets.
Look less, move less.
Being able to sleep well is better than anything.
Opportunities come every day.
If the principal is gone, it’s really gone.
Take it slow.
No rush #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% $OKB 👉Chat in the comments: Has the OKB short position been tormented by back-and-forth shakeouts?
OKB surged to 134.50, the conference ended, and buying on expectations and selling on facts began to play out.
Short opened at 131.3, current price 130.84, basically break-even, no need to panic.
Daily and 4-hour charts are still overbought at high levels; short-term 15-minute MACD golden cross suggests a high probability of a slight rebound to 131.5~132, do not add to the position.
Short position management 📋
Cost: 131.3
Stop loss: 135.5 (above today's high, cut losses if broken)
Target: 128→125
Positive news has landed, the direction is correct, hold steady, don’t get shaken out by the short-term rebound ✅.🔥 The biggest danger for BTC right now is not a drop, but rather — running out of room to continue sideways.
🧨 Around $87,000, selling pressure has appeared three times in a row. Since September 23, this price has acted like a gate repeatedly intercepting the bulls. Every time the bulls push up, they face heavy selling; breaking through is not as easy as it seems.
📊 However, the market is not entirely bearish. Recently, BTC's local lows have been steadily rising, indicating that buyers are still supporting the downside, and the price is forming a "higher lows, pressured highs" converging structure.
🔍 We are now at the end of the triangle. Simply put, the space between bulls and bears is narrowing, and continuing to grind sideways has little meaning; a real directional choice could happen at any moment.
🌡️ What’s more noteworthy is the external environment. The total crypto market cap has fallen back to about $2.93 trillion, yet the US stock market remains quite strong. The Nasdaq 100 hit a new closing high, and the S&P 500 is less than 0.5% from its all-time high. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen to 5.32%, and the high interest rate environment remains a sword hanging over risk assets.
🚀 If BTC breaks above 87,000 with volume and holds, it could open up a larger upside space; conversely, if it breaks below the ascending support, beware of a downward breakout from the triangle.
👀 This time, are you betting on a breakout or a breakdown? $BTC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets $ETH 2678–2740 range has been sideways for 3-4 days, huge volume turnover at 17:00 but closed flat, direction undecided, no trades in the middle of the range, wait for a breakout.
Structure: The upper side 2728–2740 resisted multiple times (10/5 H2738, H2729), the lower side 2678–2690 tested but not broken multiple times (this morning L2678, afternoon L2688 both recovered); the 17:00 1H candle showed 4.9x huge volume but price closed flat (2720→2692→2709, long upper and lower shadows) — bulls and bears massively exchanged hands around the 2700 level, no winner, it's a consolidation before a breakout but direction not yet determined. $CT $BTC 🔥 $BTC has hit $87,000 again, and this is not the first time.
📌 Since September 23, BTC has encountered significant selling pressure near $87,000 for the third time. Every time it reaches this level, there are sell-offs, indicating that the selling pressure at this position is indeed heavy. The key question now is not "can it still rise," but whether the bulls have the strength to truly absorb this batch of sell orders.
📈 The good news is that BTC's recent lows are gradually rising, indicating that support below has not completely disappeared. The price is also approaching the intersection of horizontal resistance and the ascending trendline; the triangle pattern is nearing its end, leaving less and less room for the market to consolidate.
⚠️ However, the macro environment is not fully cooperative. The total crypto market cap has fallen back to about $2.93 trillion, while the US stock market remains strong, with the Nasdaq 100 hitting a new closing high and the S&P 500 less than 0.5% from its all-time high. What is really putting pressure on risk assets is the US Treasury market; the 10-year yield has risen to 5.32%, approaching the highest level since 2002.
🚀 So, $87,000 is the current dividing line between bulls and bears. A breakout with volume and a stable hold above could fully open up space; if it continues to spike and then fall back, beware of a downward break of the triangle.
💬 Do you think BTC can truly take down $87,000 this time? #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 比特币近期的市场逻辑正在悄悄转向。 过去几个月，巨鲸持续向交易所转入 BTC，市场一度担心潜在的集中抛售压力。但进入近期后，这种净流入趋势明显放缓，部分大额持币地址甚至重新转向净流出。 与此同时，现货 BTC ETF 已连续数周保持净流入，机构资金正在持续承接市场抛压。 📊 现在值得关注的几个信号： 🐋 巨鲸向交易所转币的力度下降 🏦 BTC ETF连续获得资金配置 🔄 长期持币地址的供应正在减少 📈 交易所可流通筹码压力有所缓解 💰 机构需求开始与链上供应变化形成共振 如果这种趋势能够延续，那么 BTC 的供需平衡可能正在从“卖方占优”逐渐转向“需求吸收供应”。 短线来看，BTC 仍需要突破 $87K附近阻力 来确认上行趋势；如果能够放量站稳，市场可能进一步测试 $88.5K–$90K。 但如果跌回 $84K–$85K 下方，说明买方吸收能力仍然不足，供需拐点还需要更多时间确认。 ETF持续买入 + 巨鲸卖压下降 = 一个值得密切关注的供需变化信号。 现在还不能简单宣布牛市全面加速，但至少，BTC 的筹码结构正在变得更有利于多头。 NFA / DYOR，控制仓位，避免追涨Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety. When I opened the market this morning, $ETHFI retraced and held steady, funds quietly entered, and at that moment I knew this wave of ETHFI was not that simple. The signal was to go long, the rest is up to the market.
During the repeated fluctuations in the session, it's easiest to get shaken off, but the support hasn't broken and the buying is still there. Entry at 0.6955, current price 0.7354, +114.45%, the wait was worth it. The earlier grind was tough, but coming out now feels really good.
Don't lose patience in the fluctuations and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking.
I manage my position according to plan: take profit on 70%, protect the remaining 30% at cost price. Take profits when you should, don't be greedy for the last bit. Let profits run if it continues to rise, and don't let gains turn uncomfortable if it pulls back.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. When the next shot comes, I will notify immediately. The market is not short of opportunities, it lacks patience.
$BTC $ETH 🔥 $ETH bulls, are you still going to push or not?
😂 The funniest scene these days is: shouting 2800 loudly, but the price seems nailed in place. About ten days of oscillation, resulting not in a breakout, but repeated rallies followed by pullbacks.
🔍 For trading, time itself is also a signal. If a position is truly strong, repeated tests usually get closer to a breakout; but if every approach to resistance is smashed back, you must be cautious—the selling pressure above may be continuously accumulating.
📉 So now I’m not shouting “must rise,” nor announcing “must fall” in advance. My judgment is simple: break through 2800 and hold, continue to be bullish; repeatedly fail to break through, then fall below support, accept the reality of a weakening market.
🌋 More troublesome is that the macro powder keg is still nearby. The Fed meeting minutes, the Hormuz situation, and crude oil supply expectations could all become triggers to break the balance.
🛡️ What I fear most now is not being wrong in the view, but stubbornly holding on after the market truly turns.
💬 Which side are you on? The 2800 breakout camp, or the crash standby team? #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 ETH 目前仍守住前低 $2,650 一带形成的 higher low，短线结构没有被破坏。不过，上方 $2,785–$2,810 仍是关键压力区，价格还需要真正站稳这里，才能确认下一段上行空间。 📌 我的思路很简单：不追突破，只等确认。 🟢 条件式做多： 入场：$2,790–$2,800，等待4H收盘站稳后回踩确认 止损：$2,755 TP1：$2,850 TP2：$2,920 ⚠️ 结构失效： 如果4H收盘重新跌破 $2,755，多头逻辑需要重新评估。 近期ETH的质押需求和链上资金活跃度仍为中期结构提供一定支撑，但短线真正决定方向的，还是突破后的成交量、资金费率以及现货买盘能否跟上。 所以现在不急。 先让ETH证明突破有效，再考虑进场。 NFA / DYOR，严格控制仓位与风险。The "soft exit" path for CORE has actually long been laid out. The triple legal firewall composed of a Cayman Islands legal entity, anonymous core contributors, and token distribution excluding U.S. users forms a complete liability isolation system. The CORE Foundation vs. Maple Finance dispute previously handled by the Cayman Islands Supreme Court precisely exposed the operational structure of this entity: the foundation can initiate injunctions and freeze assets through offshore jurisdiction, but token holders can hardly launch effective claims against it.
What is even more alarming is the signal of asset transfers. The team is accused of converting protocol profits into hard assets like BTC instead of using them for ecosystem buybacks. The narrative in the 2026 roadmap about "using BTC staking rewards to buy back CORE" has yet to see any large-scale buyback execution verifiable on-chain. As core developers gradually leave, the official Twitter goes silent, and community communication falls into silence, the so-called "hibernation period" looks more like a cover for systematic withdrawal.
For stakers, the outcome is the harshest. In the dual staking mechanism, BTC locked has a fixed period, but CORE can be unstaked at any time—this is precisely the exit channel the team has left for themselves. When liquidity continues to dry up, exchanges delist contract trading pairs one after another, and order book support drops to zero, staked CORE will become on-chain digital assets that cannot be liquidated.
They will not announce a run. They will just let the chain keep running until the last person realizes that no one is left to take over.Lookonchain 监测到，地址 0x914b 此前做空约 14,976 枚 ETH，名义价值约 4,097 万美元。空单出现约 47.1 万美元亏损后，该地址没有继续止损，反而直接反手，以 25 倍杠杆做多约 23,734 ETH，仓位价值约 6,430 万美元，预估清算价在 2,650 美元附近。 这种操作，本质上就是从“判断错误”快速切换成“加杠杆赌方向”——空单亏损不认，直接放大仓位试图把亏损赚回来。 ⚠️ 但中线交易最忌讳这种思路。 仓位越大、杠杆越高，容错空间就越小。尤其 ETH 如果重新跌破 2,650 美元附近，清算风险会明显放大。 我的观点很简单： 可以错，但不要为了证明自己没错而不断加杠杆。 中线更应该关注 ETH 的趋势结构、现货资金、ETF流向、OI和资金费率，而不是跟着巨鲸的高倍仓位下注。 别学这种“亏损后加倍反打”的玩法，真正重要的是活得久。 NFA / DYOR，严格控制风险。From Four-Year Cycles to Multidimensional Strategies: Bitcoin Is Undergoing a Structural Transformation
A year ago, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of about $126,000 in October; a year later, the price has fallen back to around $85,000, a drop of about 32%. While the price is down, the market structure is undergoing fundamental changes—the number of publicly listed companies holding BTC has expanded from just a few to over 105, monthly net inflows into spot ETFs still reach $2.65 billion, and the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has dropped to its lowest since the FTX collapse. This article combines the latest market data and macro event calendar to explore a core question: as BTC shifts from a retail asset to an institutional asset, do investors need to upgrade their strategy framework accordingly? The answer points in one direction—from relying on predictive investment based on a single four-year cycle to multidimensional position management based on risk preferences.
If, after experiencing the Luna crash, FTX collapse, 3AC and Celsius bankruptcies, DeFi explosion, NFT craze, Bitcoin breaking the $100,000 milestone, and Wall Street truly entering the crypto market, you are still in the market and not eliminated, then congratulations—you have at least witnessed the wildest side of this market.
Making more money is indeed a skill and advantage, but being able to survive long enough in the market is also a skill and advantage. Whether facing a casino or financial market, as long as you are still at the table, the story can continue. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $BTC The screen is eerily quiet right now. Just now, staring at those lifeless K-lines, I felt that itch inside, always thinking that buying in at this moment, even for a small profit, would be good. This isn’t trading at all; it’s clearly the instinct acting up when a person faces boredom. In this dead market, every urge to place an order is just making things harder on myself. I closed the software and did dozens of push-ups in the living room until my heartbeat steadied, then I realized that the current market is testing whose patience lasts longer. Whoever can’t resist touching this stagnant water first is the one supplying ammo to the market.
$ETH $ENA $PENDLE 🔥 I’ve stopped urging $ETH to rise.
😎 If breaking through 2800 were really that easy, it would have gone up long ago after so many days of grinding. Now the price is oscillating repeatedly at a high level, the longer it drags on, the more the market’s patience is being slowly worn down.
⚠️ The most dangerous thing at this stage is not a sudden crash, but everyone assuming "sideways movement means continuation of the rise," and gradually ignoring the risks.
📊 Currently, there are only two things worth watching for ETH: first, whether it can effectively break through 2800; second, if the breakout fails, whether it can hold the current oscillation structure. The former means the bulls regain the initiative, the latter, once lost, means we must guard against the sideways movement turning into a downward trend.
🌍 Moreover, this week is not short of catalysts. The Fed’s September meeting minutes are about to be released, the energy market is still affected by the Hormuz situation, OPEC+ production policy remains unchanged; OKXICE’s application for a tokenized US stock trading platform also indicates that the integration of traditional finance and on-chain markets is continuing.
🧯 So my current strategy is simple: don’t chase highs, don’t fantasize, follow whichever side breaks.
💥 If a big bearish candle really comes tonight, are you ready to catch the falling knife or just exit directly? #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 BTC 冲高至 $87,000 附近后再次遭遇卖压，这是近期第三次在这一关键区域受阻，短线多头动能开始出现降温迹象。与此同时，美债收益率维持高位、美元走强，也让风险资产面临一定压力。 📍 短线交易计划： 🔻 空头观察区：$86,000–$86,400 🎯 TP1：$85,300 🎯 TP2：$84,500 🎯 TP3：$83,200 🛑 SL：$87,200 ⚠️ 不建议看到回落就直接追空。 如果 BTC 跌破 $85,300 后反抽无法重新站回，空头信号会更有参考价值；反之，如果放量重新突破 $87,200，上述看空结构可能失效，进一步向 $88,500–$90,000 延伸的概率将上升。近期市场也在关注 ETF 资金变化以及高位流动性争夺。 耐心等确认，别被一根大阴线或大阳线带着情绪交易。 NFA｜DYOR｜严格控制仓位与杠杆7% Zhipu, 14% CanSino, 11% Biocytos—are institutions planning to buy up and make a fortune today? Hong Kong stocks as a whole showed some respect today. The Hang Seng Index closed up 1%, Hengke closed up 0.94%, and Zhipu jumped over 7% because of GLM-5.3 listing on Amazon Bedrock. Pharmaceuticals and biotech went even crazier: CanSino Biologics rose over 14%, Bioceto over 11%, Zai Lab rose over 9%, Insilico, China Biopharmaceutical, and Akeso Biologics all rose over 4%, Sansheng and Hutchison Whampoa over 3%, and Hutchison about 3%. Zhipu has more follow-ups: AWS's Bedrock officially took over GLM-5.3, splitting revenue with Zhipu based on call volume; Besides AWS, Zhipu is also sharing revenue with several overseas cloud providers. Domestically, Alibaba Cloud has already signed similar agreements, Huawei Cloud has listed GLM-5.3 and discussed profit-sharing intentions, basically expanding the domestic and international revenue-sharing network. Interpretation: Hang Seng Index and Hengke both rose about 1%, Zhipu rose over 7%. I think today's market is not a broad-based rally but a simultaneous flow of funds from AI and pharmaceutical sectors. This move will definitely encourage short-term capital to chase Zhipu, since Bedrock is not a regular listing but settles based on call volume, leaving room for sustained income later. I estimate institutions will focus on Zhipu's positions today; retail investors chasing higher prices should watch for pullbacks, otherwise they might be easily washed out. AWS's Bedrock connects with GLM-5.3 and shares revenue with Zhipu based on model call volume. This move will definitely push Zhipu's overseas commercialization forward significantly. I think the most important thing about this isn't "putting two people on the list."“$PI Network’s latest Protocol 28 community Docker (community-v1.0-p28.0.1) just sitting in Docker Desktop at 1.58 GB, created ~20 days ago. The smaller SoloHost remote-gate image has been hanging around for months. Node operators have until October 13 to pull the update before the mainnet flips to Protocol 28 on the 16th—otherwise their nodes risk dropping out of sync. Same old story: more infrastructure iteration on the Stellar-based stack, while everyday Pioneers still wait for the real utility and liquidity to catch up.”
$BTC $ETH
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra
#FedSeptemberMinutes 🔥 The most awkward spot for ETH right now isn't falling, but wanting to rise and not being able to.
🚨 $ETH has been stuck around this level for about ten days, with bulls repeatedly calling for a breakout, but 2800 always feels like there's a glass wall—visible but unbreakable.
🧨 This kind of market easily creates illusions: sideways = accumulation. But don't forget, sideways can also mean repeated tug-of-war between bulls and bears, eventually breaking downwards.
📌 So I’m not guessing direction now, just watching for confirmation. If there's a volume breakout above 2800 and it holds, the bearish logic needs reevaluation; conversely, if it fails to break through for a long time or even falls below key support in the range, then stop making stories for the bulls—the downside space might officially open.
🌍 The macro environment isn't quiet either. This week the Federal Reserve will release the September meeting minutes, the Hormuz situation still impacts the energy market, OPEC+ maintains November production unchanged; additionally, OKXICE's application to the SEC for a tokenized stock trading platform adds new narratives to the market.
🧐 Do you think 2800 can still hold? I’ve already marked the anti-crash position. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 This isn't a drop; it's like CPR for my empty account, right? During the intraday bottoming, $XRP tried to push up, but no one caught it, volume didn't follow, trading volume was pitifully low. I judged the support was insufficient and directly signaled to follow the short position.
At that time, many were watching the rebound trying to chase longs, I just replied once: don't lose patience grinding in the consolidation, then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. From 1.5151 to 1.5058, short position +62.7%, nailed it. Those in the trade should have woken up laughing.
First close 80%, keep 20% at cost price for protection, if it continues to drop let the profit run, if it rebounds don't give the profit back. Pocket the big part first, don't be greedy for the last bit.
Being empty is not a sin; opening random positions is the mistake. The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they're the smartest. For uncertain coins, a glance is clarity, buying a lot is foolishness.
Chasing highs easily gets you stuck at the peak, wait for the next signal to move. There will be more opportunities later, the market doesn't lack opportunities, it lacks patience.
$BNB $SOL $AEON Trend Order: 20x long, entry at 0.06565, currently 0.069, floating profit 102.05%. My strategy is trend following, no bottom fishing or top picking.
AEON's 1-hour chart forms an ascending channel. I decisively entered when it retraced to the lower boundary at 0.06565 this afternoon. The trend remains intact now, holding the position. The target is near the upper channel boundary around 0.075.
Trend trading emphasizes cutting losses quickly and letting profits run. I've already moved the stop loss to the entry price; next, it will either stop loss at breakeven or capture a big gain. Simple execution, no overthinking, no forecasting, just following. $ETH $BTC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
The most comforting signal this week is not whether the price has risen, but that the sell pressure is easing.
The momentum of whales moving coins to exchanges has retreated, old chips are no longer being wildly distributed, and the "potential dump" in the circulating supply is shrinking.
More importantly, on the ETF side: net inflows for three consecutive weeks indicate that traditional funds are not just a one-day visit, but continue to buy on price pullbacks.
Although the amount last week shrank compared to the previous week, direction is more important than volume — institutions are confirming the trend, not chasing highs to catch the falling knife.
My mid-term view:
Whales selling less + ETFs willing to buy = supply-demand balance tipping towards bulls. But don’t get ahead of yourself; this is not a full-scale new bull market, it’s a repair phase where "old chips are transferring to new institutions."
In terms of operations, if $BTC pulls back but does not break the support zone, I consider it a mid-term buying opportunity; if it truly breaks through, wait for ETF inflows to expand and the price to stabilize above key weekly levels.
In short: the foundation is improving, but the rhythm still needs to be honed.
$ETH
$HYPE
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Brothers, we used to fear the ancient whales crashing the market every day, but now the tide has truly turned.
📊 On-chain data reveals a key signal:
Since summer, the whales' continuous three-month trend of "net deposits to exchanges" completely ended at the end of August! Now the capital flow is negative, indicating that whales are not only refraining from sending coins to exchanges but are actually starting to withdraw.
At the same time, transfers from addresses holding more than 1 $BTC are also undergoing subtle changes.
On the other hand, institutions are buying enthusiastically.
Spot ETFs have seen net inflows for three consecutive weeks, aggressively scooping up assets.
On one side, selling pressure is genuinely easing; on the other, institutions continue accumulating. The most classic "supply and demand reversal" scenario in crypto is quietly unfolding.
Honestly, this kind of slow boil market is the most tormenting. Retail investors get anxious watching the stagnant market, and when there's a slight shake, they get shaken out. They don't even realize that the cheap chips in their hands have long been locked away in cold wallets by the big players.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Today, regulators sent two opposite signals, one easing and one tightening.
The easing: The U.S. Treasury Department withdrew its proposal targeting non-custodial wallets and coin-mixing services, which originally required reporting counterparty information for transactions over $3000. Self-custody monitoring is temporarily shelved.
The tightening: CFTC Chair Selig proposed the first batch of crypto market regulatory rules. Retail leveraged trading must go through futures commission merchants (FCMs) as intermediaries, with client asset segregation, capital adequacy, and anti-money laundering all enforced; exchanges must also prove reserves. More importantly, the CFTC and SEC jointly classified BTC, ETH, and SOL explicitly as examples of "digital commodities."
Translation: If you self-custody your coins, no one regulates you; but if you want to open high-leverage contracts, the whip is already raised. After the CLARITY Act was rejected, the SEC and CFTC filled the gap administratively within two weeks. What Congress won't give, they take themselves.
Strategy:
BTC is currently at 85,684, up 0.31% in 24 hours. Liquidations total 239 million, evenly split between longs and shorts. The fear and greed index is 73, still greedy. Resistance is at 87,000 above, support at 84,000 below. With regulatory tightening on leverage and short-term pressure on sentiment, avoid heavy positions in the middle.
ETH is currently at 2,708, up 0.19%. Bitmine increased holdings by 15,112 last week, holding above 115 longs; reduce positions if it breaks 110.
Self-custody is relaxed, leverage is tightened. Long-term legal status is positive. $BTC $ETH $SOL #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 Last year, an old classmate pulled me into a group chat.
He said to buy $BTC with eyes closed.
I bought with my eyes closed.
When I opened them, I was at a loss.
During that time, I watched the market every day,
Even checked it when going to the bathroom.
My wife said I was obsessed.
Later, I sold at the lowest point.
Within a week, it bounced back.
I sat on the balcony and smoked half a pack of cigarettes.
Then I started figuring things out on my own.
No all-in bets,
No borrowing money,
No leverage.
Only buy some $ETH when I have spare cash.
If the fees are high, I wait.
If cheap, I transfer.
I check the address three times before transferring.
One shaky hand could lose everything.
I also tried $SOL.
It’s really fast.
When congested, it’s really frustrating.
Once it got stuck for a long time,
I almost threw my phone.
Now I don’t chase hot topics anymore.
New projects are observed first.
If I don’t understand, I don’t touch.
Calls for buying in the group are jokes.
If I make money, I take some out to eat hotpot.
If I lose, I treat it as tuition.
I write private keys on paper,
Hide them in old books.
Only keep small amounts on exchanges.
Big holdings go to cold wallets.
Look less, move less.
Being able to sleep well is better than anything.
Opportunities come every day.
If the principal is gone, it’s really gone.
Just endure slowly.
No rush #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% $ETH long position, 100x leverage, entered at 2683, floating profit 116%. This trade is a standard swing operation. ETH oscillated between 2680-2720 for three days, and this afternoon it broke through 2700 with volume, so I decisively followed with a long position.
Why use 100x instead of 10x? Because the breakout probability at the end of the oscillation is high, high leverage captures the burst.
Now the mark price is 2714, reaching the first target, I reduced half of the position, and moved the stop loss of the remaining position to the cost. For swing trading, you need to know how to take profit and also how to hold the position. The target is 2800, if it breaks through, then move on, neither greedy nor fearful. $BTC $CT #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 The price is consolidating, but several events are happening on-chain and in the derivatives market that most people are overlooking.
$BTC whales continue to sell during the rebound. On-chain data shows that during BTC's rebound to $87,000, whales cumulatively sold over 30,000 BTC. More alarmingly, a dormant wallet inactive for 13 years was activated, holding 1,346 BTC. It first made test transfers, and once it enters exchanges, it will represent substantial selling pressure. ETF demand is cooling down simultaneously, with weekly net inflows plunging from $2.39 billion to about $51 million, and institutional buy and sell orders are basically hedged.
The options market is betting on direction. BTC options expiring on October 2 have a notional value of $2.63 billion, with a put-call ratio of 1.07 and a max pain point at $82,000, but the GEX peak is concentrated at $90,000 and above. Implied volatility is at a low point in this bull market, indicating the market is betting on a directional breakout with relatively low premiums. ETH options also expire with 116,000 contracts, a put-call ratio of 1.17, and a max pain point at $2,660. Both bulls and bears are waiting, but option pricing suggests the market leans toward an upward breakout.
Institutional funds for $SOL have almost stopped. Last week, SOL spot ETF net inflows were only $2.4272 million, a nearly 99% plunge from the previous week's $188 million. On-chain DEX trading volume hit a record, tokenized stock trading is active, but institutional funds have not followed. The divergence between on-chain prosperity and institutional absence is SOL's biggest current structural problem.