Orbit: Crypto Community Feed
BTC fell to 82500 as expected, then rebounded from 82500 to around 84000 as expected. What’s next, rise or fall?
Last Saturday, I specifically posted to remind everyone that BTC would break below 82800 to around 82500, asking everyone to watch 82500. As a result, BTC perfectly broke 82800 and just touched the 82500 I mentioned before starting to rebound, eventually rebounding to 84300, exactly the same as what I said in the live broadcast yesterday. Yesterday in the live broadcast, I said there would be a rebound near 82500, and advised not to chase shorts at the support level. The rebound would be around 84000, and those wanting to short could also watch around 84000. The result was exactly the same as I said in the live broadcast, not a bit off. We closed our short positions near 82900 yesterday, then went long near 84000, and in the evening laid out short positions near 84000. The short positions have not been closed yet. You could say the entire short-term wave was within my expected range. You can tell how accurate I am by looking at my posts and live broadcasts. So what will happen next?
Yesterday I told everyone that I believe the downtrend is not over, and 82500 is not the end point of this round of decline. It might just be the starting point of the decline. There is a very high possibility that a second wave correction will start here. If the second wave correction starts, the depth of the decline will at least aim to break 8 and head towards 7. Of course, for the short term, we won’t look that far yet. First, watch if it breaks below 82200. If it doesn’t recover, it will first go to the 80000–81500 range. Of course, whether it is a second wave correction or not $BTC $ETH
WLD (Worldcoin) Market Overview
WLD is a token launched by Sam Altman in the AI + human identity verification sector. The core market hype revolves around OpenAI, AI narratives, and WorldID global identity. It is a typical news-driven coin with extreme volatility.
✅ Bullish Logic
1. AI Hotspot Linkage: Whenever OpenAI releases a new model, or there is positive news related to Sora or AI, funds rush into WLD. It is one of the sentiment leaders in the AI sector. When the market recovers, it shows strong elasticity and often outperforms most coins in growth speed.
2. WorldID Ecosystem Expansion: The number of globally verified users continues to grow. Integration of World Chain and World ID into more applications brings short-term positive expectations.
3. Macro Liquidity: Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and loose US dollar liquidity drive the overall crypto market. As a popular small-cap coin, WLD is easily speculated on by funds.
Market Trend Summary
- Rise: Driven by AI news stimulus and inflow of market funds, short-term pulse-like surges come quickly;
- Fall: When AI hype fades, token unlocks occur, negative regulations emerge, or the market weakens, rapid corrections are likely;
- It has no stable bottom; what you see as a low point may just be a downward consolidation.
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
+24.96%
Snapshot at Sep 29, 2026, 16:45
9.29 Evening Session Thoughts:
$BTC
Long position at 82900 has gained 1500 points, hold steady and continue to look higher.
In the evening session, dip to 82600—83200 to continue participating in long positions; as long as 82000 is not broken, do not be overly bearish.
$ETH
Long position at 2655 continues to expand profits.
I repeat every day that the 2635—2650 range is a money-making zone; as long as you enter, it's like picking up money with your eyes closed.
In the evening session, dip to 2670—2685 to continue participating in long positions, and also continue participation at 2635—2650. #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
$CRV surged 20.6%, but I'm bearish: 0.4018 will tell the story
$CRV is currently at 0.3959, up 20.6% in 24h, but I'm directly bearish: the odds are inverted.
The rise is really strong, with 24h volume at 14,709,545 USDT and volume ratio 2.881. Daily RSI is 61.3, slightly strong, MA7 has been above MA30 for 6 days, I acknowledge the bullish setup.
But three things are off. First, 15-minute and 1-hour RSI are overbought, current price jumped above the upper Bollinger Band; second, US crypto concept stocks all fell—COIN -1.7%, MARA -3.51%, average -2.05%, price rising alone without support; third, the market shows high-level divergence and pullback, BTC at 83980.96 is pressed by ma7 at 84184.842857, I don't trust greed at 73.
Resistance above: 0.4018 (24h high), 0.4061.
Support below: 0.3681, 0.3645, 0.3614.
Watershed: 0.3251 (4h SAR), losing it means trend reversal.
If it rebounds but fails at 0.4018, I short directly, stop loss at 0.4061, first target 0.3681.
Follow me, I'll call out immediately whichever breaks first between 0.4018 and 0.3251.
$CRV $BTC
How do I describe my current state? It's like I just finished playing the Ace of Spades at a nightclub, ready to show off when I step out, only to find my phone and wallet have been stolen, and even my underwear is gone.
Let's face this harsh reality and look at these three green holding charts:
BTC: 100x leverage, unrealized loss -1,115.48 USDT (-53.79%). Two hours ago it was +70, now it's been cut in half.
DOGE: 50x leverage, unrealized loss -264.67 USDT (-18.44%). The mascot has now turned into a money-eating beast.
ETH: 100x leverage, unrealized loss -923.62 USDT (-22.26%). The big prince was just feasting and earning 2600, now he's lost over 900 including principal and interest.
Looking at the market again, everything is diving.
Right now, I just want to see what the requirements are to register as a Meituan delivery rider. I used to think about adding a fried egg to my braised chicken rice, but now I can only afford to buy a pack of pickled mustard greens from the supermarket, and have to split it into two meals $BTC $ETH $DOGE
$PUMP surged 9.61% in one day, currently priced at 0.005588, just 2% below the 90-day high. This is no longer a rebound; it's moving right along the ceiling. This wave was a direct surge within a single day, and after the rise, it wasn't pushed back down. The price is firmly held at a high level, the structure has lifted from the range and is now moving against the previous high. The outlook for the next 24 hours remains bullish, with the target being to test the 90-day high line. Coins that can hold steady just below the high won't bow down here.
$ZEC retail short positions are increasing, but large holders' long positions have also increased
Influential Creator
Last night, US stocks fell and yields surged, but $82,000 did not break down!
This indicates that there is indeed capital support between $82,000 and $83,000, and the previous upward structure has not been destroyed.
The 4-hour KDJ has formed a golden cross again, RSI6 has risen back to around 65, MACD bearish momentum is close to exhaustion, and open interest has dropped from about 96,200 contracts to 93,200 contracts, indicating that this rebound occurred after leverage was cleaned out, not simply built up by contracts.
However, resistance to decline does not equal a reversal.
$83,000 is the defense line for this week; if it holds, the market will continue to test $84,500–$85,500; only with a volume-backed hold above $85,500 will there be a chance to challenge $87,000–$87,400 again.
If it breaks below $83,000 again or fails to hold $82,000, this rise can only be considered an oversold rebound, and $80,000 will still need to be tested later.
ETFs have had continuous net inflows, buying pressure remains, but momentum is weakening, with institutions shifting from actively grabbing positions to low-level support.
My judgment is: this week will most likely first repair, then choose a direction, with the main range between $82,000 and $85,500.
For short-term projects, only relative strength matters; ETH holding above $2,700 has better catch-up potential than most altcoins; SOL is more suitable to follow after BTC breaks through; HYPE is currently weak, and before BTC takes $85,500, the altcoin activity looks more like rotation rather than a full-scale main rise.
比特币子棋
The weekend market is very boring, with small fluctuations. From the 4-hour structure, $BTC does show signs of upward momentum buildup, but it cannot yet be confirmed that a new round of rally has started.
The lows continue to rise, the price has climbed back above the short-term moving average, and a small ascending triangle has formed. Position volume is low, and funding rates are relatively mild, indicating no obvious leverage crowding in the market for now.
ETFs have seen net inflows for seven consecutive days, and spot buying is still supporting.
The only current issue is that trading volume hasn't picked up yet.
Although bulls have the advantage, price, volume, and the external market have not yet formed a resonance. After the U.S. stock market opens tomorrow, the direction may become clearer.
If the Nasdaq strengthens and U.S. Treasury yields remain stable, BTC could break out with volume and hold above $85,500, first targeting $87,400, and after breaking through, then $89,000.
If it rallies without volume, or tech stocks weaken again, BTC may first clear liquidity around $83,000. If that level breaks, the downside target is $81,000 to $82,000.
Short-term bias is bullish, but $85,500 is the starting line. Before holding above it, it's just consolidation; only a volume breakout counts as a real rally.
$ZEC support is effective around 1370! Long holders who were stuck are about to break even
Another whale with a 98% win rate has opened a long position!
Opening average price 1385
Liquidation price 1305
Only 80 points! This whale has a historical win rate of 98%
After this ZEC pullback, what level will it sprint to?
