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Brothers, today's market is still quite frustrating
$BTC is currently around 82000, it surged up and then came down again. It feels like it's still a bit short of a direct breakout. This kind of market easily annoys people; when it rises a bit, you feel like the bull is back, but when it falls a bit, you think a crash is coming. As a result, you trade back and forth, pay a lot in fees, but don't make much money.
$ETH is currently around 2400, still following the big coin, and no particularly strong independent trend is seen for now. The 2500 level is worth watching closely, but don't assume the round number will definitely hold as support; if it really falls, it won't reason with you.
$SOL is currently around 103, performing fairly well today, but a short-term rebound doesn't mean the correction is over. Everyone knows $SOL; it rises fiercely and falls just as sharply. Those who want to trade it should wait and see
#美国9月CPI同比升至3.7%，核心通胀超预期
Brothers, today's market is really interesting, it feels like the market is starting to stir again, but whether it's a rebound or the start of a new trend is still unclear.
$BTC is currently priced above 83,000, with the overall market warming up today, temporarily fluctuating around 80,000. The problem is, this level is the most confusing—going long risks a sharp pullback, shorting risks a sudden pump, getting hit from both sides. Personally, I think we still need to see if volume can continue to increase upward; judging a reversal just by a few bullish candles is a bit premature.
$ETH is around 2,500, warming up along with the broader market. Ethereum's movement has been quite frustrating recently; to sustain an uptrend, it still depends on whether it can hold key levels going forward. Brothers, don’t rush to chase just because it’s rising; if it’s another pump and dump, that’s a familiar recipe.
$SOL is around 108, also temporarily fluctuating with the market. SOL has always been quite volatile; it pumps quickly when the market is good and pulls back sharply too. If the market continues to strengthen, it’s worth watching if it can break the intraday high; if BTC starts weakening, don’t expect altcoins to remain unaffected.
$XRP is around 1.38, with a slight rise today. But this increase isn’t particularly strong yet; whether it can continue depends on volume and subsequent price action. There’s no need to jump to conclusions just because of a small rebound.
#九月CPI今晚公布，美联储加息分歧待解
Brothers
On the 1-hour chart, first watch 83,000–83,432. If it can't break through, it will still oscillate; if it really breaks, then look at 84,000–84,400. There's resistance above on the daily chart too, with the 10 EMA at 83,590 and the 20 SMA at 84,371, so don't be too optimistic if it rebounds to these levels.
Below are 82,400, 82,200, 81,700, with the key level at 80,308. If this is lost, 80,000 is also in danger. The major structure is still intact, with the 50 EMA at 79,865 and the 200 SMA at 71,918 supporting below. MACD is bearish, but momentum is retracing, so neither bulls nor bears have the upper hand.
On 10/14 Wednesday, the US September CPI will be released. This is the biggest variable this week, determining whether rate hike expectations will heat up or cool down. The FOMC on October 27–28 is the pricing watershed. There's also the Beige Book early Thursday; earnings reports from TSMC and ASML. Trump tariffs and geopolitical news could intervene at any time.
To the upside, it depends on whether spot buying returns; first stand above 85,500 before considering further. Above that is 87,100–95,900, the largest annual liquidation zone. To the downside, if 80,300 breaks, the next reference area is around 75,000. CryptoQuant mentioned the “short-term traders’ unrealized profit 21-month peak,” meaning that batch of profit-taking hasn't fully exited yet
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
BTC current price is around 83,800, ETH at 2,610. The afternoon couldn't hold up, continuing the morning's decline, shifting from high-level consolidation to a downward trend.
There was actually an attempt to rebound in the morning, but the bullish volume couldn't keep up; several attempts to break resistance failed. In the afternoon, it simply retraced downward, breaking previous high-level support, with short-term sentiment clearly weakening. The daily trend hasn't completely broken yet.
Any slight rebound is met with selling pressure; previous support zones have now turned into resistance. If it rebounds back to those levels, it's an opportunity to reduce positions and take profits—don't hesitate. The price is currently testing short-term support; if it can't hold, it will probe lower to test the core defense below. Hourly bearish momentum is still increasing; even if there's a short-term rebound, it's likely a weak correction, and pulling back directly to previous highs is difficult.
ETH is weaker than BTC today, dropping deeper. Current price near 2,610, passively following the market down, poor resistance to decline, weak rebound, and larger retracements than BTC when falling, with no independent trend. Altcoins are also retreating together, with poor profit potential.
The core rhythm this afternoon: a weak, corrective consolidation, not the high-level grinding seen in previous days. Absolutely do not bottom-fish against the trend; there's no sign of a stable bottom, entering now is like catching a falling knife. Short-term strategy should follow the trend: don't chase weak rebounds, reduce positions gradually at resistance, and wait for clear signs of support at low levels before considering buying the dip, with stop-losses mandatory.
The medium- to long-term bullish structure remains, but short-term funds are fleeing and sentiment is cooling; the afternoon is a downward correction phase. Be patient and wait for key M-shaped support to stabilize.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
$BTC $ETH
Today's Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
Overall, the market is quite stable today, with the major indices basically consolidating at high levels.
The big trend for Bitcoin remains solid, with a stable bullish structure. However, in the short term, it's clear that the upward momentum is fading; every rally is followed by a pullback, showing no sustained buying power. Currently, this is a high-level shakeout, gradually washing out short-term floating positions.
The resistance zone above is very tight, repeatedly tested but not broken. Without a volume breakout, any rally here is a bull trap, so firmly avoid chasing.
Support below is quite stable, with recent dips well supported. As long as the core support holds, there's no need to be bearish; it's just a period of consolidation and correction.
The market now is a typical wait-and-see for direction, with neither bulls nor bears showing strength. It's a lukewarm market with no clear opportunities.
Ethereum remains weak, following Bitcoin without its own rhythm. When the market consolidates, Ethereum is slightly weaker; when the market dips, Ethereum falls first; its rebound strength is very poor. At this stage, there's no need to actively trade Ethereum; the risk-reward ratio is low.
Briefly on strategy:
In this kind of choppy market, the easiest way to lose money is chasing highs and selling lows.
Don't chase at highs; buy steadily at lows. If there's no breakout or breakdown, just patiently observe.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入