
#WillFedPauseInOctober
About WillFedPauseInOctober
The Fed meets Oct 27-28. Markets still expect unchanged rates, though the odds of a pause have eased. October’s flash S&P Global composite PMI reached 57.6; manufacturing PMI rose to 56.0, a 53-month high. Selling prices increased at the fastest pace since August 2022, signaling persistent inflation pressure. Attention now turns to the Fed’s inflation assessment, guidance on the rate path and whether another hike remains possible in December.
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🇺🇸 United States Michigan Consumer Expectations (Oct) $USD
Actual: 48.8
Forecast: 47.3
Previous: 46.3

U.S. ECONOMY BOOMS, BUT INFLATION WARNING FLASHES RED
OCTOBER'S FLASH S&P GLOBAL PMI SIGNALS STRONG ECONOMIC GROWTH ALONGSIDE ACCELERATING INFLATION.
🔸 COMPOSITE PMI: 57.6 VS. 58.4 PRIOR
🔸 SERVICES PMI: 57.9 VS. 58.8
🔸 MANUFACTURING PMI: 56.0 — 53-MONTH HIGH
🔸 GDP GROWTH: CONSISTENT WITH ROUGHLY 5% ANNUALIZED, ACCORDING TO S&P GLOBAL
HIRING REMAINS STRONG, BUT SELLING PRICES ARE RISING AT THEIR FASTEST PACE SINCE AUGUST 2022.
THE KEY TAKEAWAY: U.S. GROWTH REMAINS EXCEPTIONALLY RESILIENT, BUT RENEWED INFLATION PRESSURES COULD COMPLICATE THE FED'S RATE OUTLOOK.
SOURCE: S&P GLOBAL FLASH U.S. PMI, OCTOBER 23, 2026
U.S. S&P GLOBAL OCTOBER FLASH COMPOSITE PMI AT 57.6 (VS 58.4 IN SEPTEMBER)
U.S. S&P GLOBAL OCTOBER FLASH SERVICES PMI AT 57.9 (FORECAST 58.0)
U.S. S&P GLOBAL OCTOBER FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI AT 56.0 (FORECAST 55.5) - *WALTER BLOOMBERG ...

U.S. ECONOMY BOOMS, BUT INFLATION WARNING FLASHES RED
October's flash S&P Global PMI signals strong economic growth alongside accelerating inflation.
🔸 Composite PMI: 57.6 vs. 58.4 prior
🔸 Services PMI: 57.9 vs. 58.8
🔸 Manufacturing PMI: 56.0 — 53-month high
🔸 GDP growth: Consistent with roughly 5% annualized, according to S&P Global
Hiring remains strong, but selling prices are rising at their fastest pace since August 2022.
The key takeaway: U.S. growth remains exceptionally resilient, but renewed inflation pressures could complicate the Fed's rate outlook.
Source: S&P Global Flash U.S. PMI, October 23, 2026









