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Oil above $100 is flashing a warning, not a BTC buy signal. A Middle East supply shock could push inflation higher, delay Fed easing, tighten liquidity, and pressure BTC/ETH first. BTC recently slipped below $77K as ETF flows turned negative. Don’t chase the headline. Watch oil, Fed expectations, and ETF inflows. If capital returns, that’s when the real BTC setup becomes stronger.#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow