#USTreasuryYieldsClimb
About USTreasuryYieldsClimb
US long-dated Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 10Y near 5.3% and the 30Y above 5.6%. CCC corporate-bond spreads over Treasuries have topped 1,000bp for the first time since the 2023 regional-bank crisis, signaling higher risk premiums for low-rated debt. Despite lower Oct Fed hike expectations after the latest PCE data, long-end yields remain elevated, underscoring the gap between easing near-term policy expectations and persistent long-rate pressure.
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The long end is sending a different signal from the policy path. Even as October hike expectations eased after PCE, the 10Y near 5.3% and 30Y above 5.6% point to stubborn pressure in duration.
CCC spreads above 1,000bp reinforce that this is not merely a rates story: weaker balance sheets are being repriced too. The key question is whether elevated term premiums can persist without a broader credit reset.
#USTreasuryYieldsClimb
US 30yr mortgage rates just hit 7.3% - a 3 year high!
And demand for mortgages is collapsing.
Applications last week were down 14% on the same week last year.
So owners stay put, buyers stay priced out & sales fall to their weakest in over a year.
Prices won't crash while supply stays frozen.
The result: a market where nobody wins.
🇺🇸 United States MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate $USD
Actual: 7.3%
Previous: 7.12%
