#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
About SeptHikeOddsHit90%
US August PPI rose 5.4% YoY above expectations; CPI rose 0.4% MoM with core CPI up 0.3% MoM, even as the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. CME rate futures now price a Sept 25bps hike at nearly 90%. Goldman Sachs shifted from no-hike to a Sept hike; TD Securities flagged a possible new tightening cycle. Risk assets held up: US equities and BTC showed resilience post-data. Market debate has moved from 'will they hike' to 'will they keep going'. FOMC drops Sept 16.
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🚨 Hawkish CPI… but the market turned it into a $470M leveraged bloodbath.
Yesterday’s CPI looked bearish for risk assets, yet Bitcoin and ETH initially rallied hard. Why? Because the market wasn’t simply trading the data—it was trading positioning, expectations, and leverage.
Within an hour of the release, more than $250M in shorts were liquidated. Over four hours, liquidations reached roughly $470M, with shorts accounting for around $350M.
#BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121%
🚨 Hawkish CPI… but the market turned it into a $470M leveraged bloodbath.
Yesterday’s CPI looked bearish for risk assets, yet Bitcoin and ETH initially rallied hard. Why? Because the market wasn’t simply trading the data—it was trading positioning, expectations, and leverage.
Within an hour of the release, more than $250M in shorts were liquidated. Over four hours, liquidations reached roughly $470M, with shorts accounting for around $350M.
#DailyOrbit
BITCOIN FACES A TOUGHER MACRO BACKDROP
$BTC is hovering near $77K as hotter-than-expected August core CPI adds pressure to risk assets.
The 0.3% monthly rise keeps inflation concerns elevated and may force the Fed to remain cautious on its next rate decision.
Meanwhile, higher Treasury yields are tightening financial conditions, creating another obstacle for Bitcoin.
The key level is $77K.
Hold it, and BTC could rebound toward $78K–$80K.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
aaminhajj
BITCOIN FACES A TOUGHER MACRO SETUP
$BTC is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI adds fresh pressure to the market.
The 0.3% monthly increase is keeping inflation concerns alive and could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
At the same time, elevated Treasury yields are tightening financial conditions, creating another hurdle for risk assets like Bitcoin.
The key level now is $77K
Hold it, and BTC could attempt a move back toward $78K–$80K
$BTC is facing a tougher macro setup.
Bitcoin is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI keeps pressure on risk assets.
The 0.3% monthly increase shows inflation is still sticky, which could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
Elevated Treasury yields are also tightening financial conditions.
The key level remains $77K.
If $BTC holds it, a move back toward $78K–$80K could be next.
No need to chase. Let price confirm.#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
$BTC is facing a tougher macro setup.
Bitcoin is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI keeps pressure on risk assets.
The 0.3% monthly increase shows inflation is still sticky, which could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
Elevated Treasury yields are also tightening financial conditions.
The key level remains $77K.
If $BTC holds it, a move back toward $78K–$80K could be next.
No need to chase. Let price confirm.#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
#PPI #CPI
After PPI and CPI, rate-hike expectations strengthened, yet $BTC bounced to $79.8K and $ETH hit $2,666.
Now BTC is back near $77.5K and ETH around $2.5K—a classic pre-data pump followed by profit-taking.
With liquidity still tight, I’d stay patient and wait for clearer Fed signals before making a move.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121%
Follow-up to the BTC move
PPI came in hot.
CPI came in hot.
Rate-hike odds jumped close to 90%.
And BTC still bounced toward $79.8K before cooling back down.
So what is the market pricing in that we're missing? 👀
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #PPIandCPIWatch #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow
$BTC is facing a tougher macro setup.
Bitcoin is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI keeps pressure on risk assets.
The 0.3% monthly increase shows inflation is still sticky, which could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
Elevated Treasury yields are also tightening financial conditions.
The key level remains $77K.
If $BTC holds it, a move back toward $78K–$80K could be next.
No need to chase. Let price confirm.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
aaminhajj
BITCOIN FACES A TOUGHER MACRO SETUP
$BTC is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI adds fresh pressure to the market.
The 0.3% monthly increase is keeping inflation concerns alive and could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
At the same time, elevated Treasury yields are tightening financial conditions, creating another hurdle for risk assets like Bitcoin.
The key level now is $77K
Hold it, and BTC could attempt a move back toward $78K–$80K
CPI matched forecasts, pushing the Fed rate hike probability for Sep 17 to nearly 90%.
Gold, BTC, and stocks swept three moves: a sharp drop, a 5-minute wick to liquidate Shorts, and a gradual bleed back to baseline.
This was a liquidity sweep, not a new directional catalyst.
$BTC +0.2% Swept both sides, giving back all momentum.
$ETH -0.1% Moving sideways, mirroring BTC liquidity sweeps.
Lack of buying pressure.
Prioritize hedging positions.
#USCPIReignitesHikeOdds
#BTCSpotETFOutflows
LIQUIDITY IS THE REAL BATTLE
$BTC $77.34K and $ETH $2.53K are caught between two opposing forces. Stable CPI data has increased bets on a September Fed rate hike, limiting short-term upside. But the story isn’t over: if the Treasury continues struggling to control yields and the Fed is forced to intervene more aggressively, liquidity could become a new catalyst for BTC.
The Fed is the headwind — but could the Fed itself become the engine behind the next breakout?
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#DailyOrbit