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"Don't Be Fooled by the 24-Hour Inflow! Short-Term Funds Are Quietly Leaving"
Beware of market traps; the 24-hour net inflow may be an illusion, as short-term contract funds are collectively exiting. Short-term bias is bearish, so don't rush to chase the rebound.
$BTC: 5-minute outflow of 8.07 million, 4-hour outflow of 172 million, 8-hour outflow of 158 million. Although the 24-hour data shows an inflow of 55.51 million, the weekly net outflow is 3.313 billion, indicating heavy selling pressure above.
ETH: 4-hour outflow of 99.32 million, 8-hour outflow of 127 million. The slight 24-hour inflow is just a short-term illusion; mid-term funds have not warmed up.
SOL: 4-hour outflow of 8.92 million, 8-hour outflow of 13.68 million. The 24-hour inflow of 20.12 million is present, but the bears have not gained momentum yet; better to wait and see.
ZEC: 8-hour outflow of 22.77 million, almost no inflow in 24 hours, with a weekly net outflow of 299 million, funds continue to withdraw.
Breaking down the data shows short cycles are all exiting; don't be fooled by the 24-hour data. Watch CPI and PPI, and wait for signals before making moves.
$ETH $STRK #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价
For personal observation only, not investment advice. Short-term:
Only look at the pattern. The N shape. One vertical surge, one diagonal pullback, then another vertical breakout. When the N shape appears, enter. A valid N shape should dip below the previous two highs and then rebound strongly to form the N. After the N shape forms, if it pulls back and breaks the previous low, stop loss and cut the position. No averaging down, no leverage increase, no holding through losses. Stop loss? %; take profit? %; can also slowly roll forward.
Many people think this method is dumb. They watch indicators, draw trend lines, chase news. Can ordinary people get a piece of the news?
Scan through the 4-hour chart. No N shape, turn off the screen. If there is an N shape, place orders with fixed stop loss and take profit.
When watching the market, rapid up and down fluctuations cause wrong operations, how to solve?
Mainstream coins and altcoins should have summarized different operation methods.One year later on the same day! ZEC consolidates sideways, short positions waiting for 800
1. Historical echo: On October 11 last year, 1.62 million people were liquidated, 19 billion evaporated, and over 90% of long positions were buried. Today is again October 11, ZEC neither falls nor rises, stuck at 1227, like the calm before the storm.
2. Technical aspect: The daily chart dropped from 1695 to 1112, the rebound hesitates even at MA5, dares not touch MA10, moving averages tightly pressuring. MACD in deep water zone, green bars shrinking but not turning red, a typical downtrend consolidation, the rebound is to gather strength for the bears.
3. Comparison and operation: Last year altcoins halved then halved again, now ZEC consolidates pretending to be dead, unable to rise, funds withdrawing, waiting for BTC to loosen and drop faster. The 1656 short position is steady, target 800. Institutions exit, ETFs run, retail calls for a bull comeback. Light short positions, avoid heavy positions, follow the trend to grind the defense line.
Core summary: Same day, different coins, same deadly trap. Sideways is not stable, it’s waiting for the knife to fall. No rush on short positions, target unchanged.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
$BTC $ETH $ZEC Flip Diary Day 3｜7 positions all in the green with floating profit +7.3U｜Sorry, Dog Bro
[Account] Equity about 83U (+9.6%)｜Recovery progress 7/400｜7 long positions all in the green
[Overnight Situation]
$ETH +39% (2,536)
PEPE +31.6%
$BTC +25.2% (83,735)
SNDK +11.7%
$ZEC +10.9%
DOGE +10.3%
SOL +4.8%
[About Dog] Last night I posted complaining "Dog is playing dead," overnight DOGE had a bullish candle +10%, turning from floating loss to profit. Sorry, Dog Bro, I was too loud. Didn’t cut losses yesterday, didn’t average down on losses, kept the stop loss hanging and held firm—this resilience paid off.
[Review] Did three things right yesterday:
BTC/ETH broke through 83,000 and 2,500 without fear, held on;
Added positions only on profitable ones, didn’t add on any losing positions, rules were followed;
Re-entered PEPE on pullback, +31%.
[Today's Plan] BTC/ETH/PEPE floating profit over 25%, move all stop losses up to cost price, locking in zero-risk positions. No new positions added. The crazier the rise, the more remember the big bearish candle on 10/8.
Risk Warning: This is only a personal live trading record, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency and leverage carry very high risks, please do not follow blindly.Arthur Hayes has spoken again, this time announcing that the FLOP Testnet will launch in a few weeks.
Honestly, my first reaction when I saw this was: he just finished with cellular medicine and is already back to work, I really admire that energy.
But back to the main point. There’s actually very little information about FLOP right now, just the timing of the testnet launch.
I used to follow these narratives of “big names backing + testnet” early on, and the result was always a big hype on launch day, then nothing afterward.
I’m not saying FLOP definitely won’t succeed, but a testnet is still a long way from real users and real capital entering.
So my attitude is simple: just remember the name for now, don’t rush to see it as a positive signal.
What’s really worth watching is whether there’s real interaction after the testnet, and if people are willing to stick around.
Fellow community members, do you remember the last project that was hyped by a big name and then the testnet just faded away?
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 $ZEC Good morning, working people.
Woke up, and the red light on the screen turned into a glaring green light, with a floating profit of 552U (double last night). I should be ecstatic, but under the shadow of 20x leverage, this full-screen profit only makes me feel like I'm walking on thin ice.
Let's look at these three ancestors that I both love and fear:
$ETH: Floating profit 129U, current price 2536. Finally stood firm once, ROI approaching 36%. Last night I was afraid it would spike down at midnight, but today it became the stabilizing anchor. The more it is like this, the more I fear it might suddenly plunge for a washout.
$DOGE: The strongest in the field, floating profit 208U, current price 0.0867, ROI as high as 43.55%. The dog coin whales really pushed hard this time, but Dogecoin's surge has never been fair. Looking at this profit, my mind is full of worries about "will it be smashed back down at any moment?"
$BTC: The big brother with floating profit 215U, current price 83732, standing above 83,000. The liquidation price of 78200 seems safe, but during the violent fluctuations from midnight to morning session, who can guarantee it won't get stabbed down?
The joy is real, and the worry is real too. The happiness is that yesterday's persistence paid off, not cutting losses at the bottom; the fear is that in this ruthless market, the only thing that never gets pocketed is numbers, and the morning session's rise and fall is the favorite script of the whales.
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ #Ledger确认一台涉事设备遭硬件植入 The S&P rose 1.2% for the week, closing at 7812, just a few points shy of the record set on Tuesday. The Dow gained 0.9%, closing at 51655. The Nasdaq increased 0.6%, closing at 27366. The Russell 2000 fell 0.9%, closing at 2807. Year-to-date, the S&P is up about 14%, the Nasdaq about 18%, and the Dow about 7.5%. The VIX closed at 14.84. The weekly line is up, but the breadth is not. The main themes this week were not the indices, but interest rates and oil. On Monday, the ISM services index dropped to 54.9, the prices paid index jumped to 74, the highest since July 2022, and the 10-year yield rose to 5.31%. On Tuesday, the S&P closed above 7800 for the first time, the Nasdaq hit consecutive new highs, Brent retreated to around 98, and yields pulled back. On Wednesday, the minutes stated that most participants thought another rate hike before year-end was still appropriate. The $39 billion 10-year auction yielded 5.3%, the highest since 2000, with the 10-year yield touching 5.365% intraday. On Thursday, the chip index fell 3.4%, the Financial Times reported OpenAI's annual revenue was $20 billion less than previously signaled, Brent rose above 104 intraday. On Friday, Trump said there would be no war with Iran before the midterms, the indices rebounded, oil did not price in peace, Brent remained near 104, and the 10-year yield closed at 5.24%. The sectors have made this clear. Energy rose about 3.9% for the week, consumer staples about 3.6%, utilities about 3.1%. Technology fell about 1%, industrials about 0.9%. Defensive sectors and oil are leading, chips are resting. Humana rose about 12% due to Medicare rating. Delta downgraded 2026 interestReal trading day 182, don't be fooled by 2555!
Today's price level made many people mistakenly think the bottom has slipped away, but the weekly chart won't cooperate with the act; it hasn't even touched the previous week's closing line!
This is not a reversal at all; it's clearly another gift collected by the bears.
$ETH rose from 2406 to 2544, showing a superficial gain of 140 points, but the trading volume is only half of the decline phase.
The trapped positions cluster between 2560 and 2600, and the 30-day moving average also applies pressure from above. Every time the price approaches, it becomes an opportunity for bears to add to their positions.
The fundamentals are equally unkind. BitMine has stopped buying ETH, the number of validators exiting the queue has surged from 166,000 to 851,000, and a large amount of staked ETH is waiting to be unlocked in the next two weeks. $BTC $ZEC
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ "When the guide falls silent, the market begins to self-learn"
The focus of this minutes is not "whether to raise rates," but "no one is leading the way anymore." 19 votes in favor of a rate hike, yet no one dares to draw the roadmap next. It seems unanimous, but in reality, the uncertainty is thrown back to the market. Previously, traders watched officials' cues and rushed into risk assets at the slightest dovish signal; now they have to analyze CPI, non-farm payrolls, and PCE themselves. Expectation management exits, data-driven pricing takes the stage.
$BTC suffers the most. Its rise depends on liquidity imagination; once the rate cut story stops, the fuel is cut off, and it can only tough it out within a range, waiting for inflation data to deal the cards. 🎲
$ETH is even more awkward. Staking yields can't compete with U.S. Treasuries, the ecosystem lacks new narratives, and the cost-effectiveness of holding it is questioned. Once funds feel it's not worthwhile, it often falls faster than anyone else and rebounds slower. 📉
$XAUT, on the other hand, remains calm. Gold doesn't rely on Fed liquidity but on the gradual loosening of dollar credit and continuous central bank purchases. When the market learns to walk on its own, assets that don't depend on policy moods are more likely to be favored. 🥇
In short: The Fed has put away the compass; the market must learn to read the map. Those who can live without relying on expectations are more stable. 🧭
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
#PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% 2500 USD Hanging by a Thread, $ETH Bleeding for 9 Days and Still Not Stopping
Today's Ethereum market is much more dangerous than it appears on the surface.
As of the morning of October 12, ETH is trading around 2480-2500 USD, with a 24-hour high reaching 2520 USD and a low dipping below 2460 USD. The price seems to be catching its breath above 2500 USD, but behind this is the pressure of 9 consecutive trading days of ETF net outflows, with a cumulative bleeding of nearly 700 million USD.
Three knives, all at the neck
First knife: Continuous withdrawal of ETF funds. The US spot Ethereum ETF has seen net outflows for 9 consecutive trading days, with a cumulative outflow of about 569 million to 697 million USD since September 29. Among them, BlackRock's ETHA had a weekly outflow of about 477 million USD, the largest source of bleeding. This is not just "profit-taking," but a systemic contraction of institutional risk appetite.
Second knife: Technical structure is comprehensively weakening. ETH has fallen below the 50-day moving average (about 2635 USD) and the 20-day moving average (about 2535 USD). MACD, ADX, and RSI all point to bears dominating. The previous support zone of 2547-2565 USD has been broken, and the 2500 USD level is the last psychological defense line.
Third knife: Accumulation of short positions. The derivatives market's short bets have reached 5 billion USD, far exceeding the long positions of 1.53 billion USD. Once the key support is broken, it may trigger a chain liquidation.
Key levels today
- Resistance above: 2520 → 2580 → 2650 USD
- Support below: 2460 → 2400 → 2350 USD
- Lifeline: 2500 USD — holding it means a breather, breaking it means a new round of decline
How to view today's market
Today's ETH is not "bottoming," but "testing the bottom line." The 2500 USD threshold must hold to qualify for a rebound; if it doesn't, it may accelerate the decline to the 2350-2400 USD range.
For short-term operations, if ETH can break above 2580 USD with volume, it can be seen as a technical repair signal; if 2460 USD is effectively broken, further decline to around 2350 USD should be guarded against.
The biggest variable this week remains macro liquidity — US Treasury yields remain high, Middle East tensions push up oil prices, and risk assets are generally under pressure. For Ethereum to break out, ETF fund outflows need to stop first; otherwise, any rebound may be a "dead cat bounce."#$BTC ETH + SOL: BTC is stable, these two are the real sentiment thermometers
Many people only watch BTC, but today the real indicator of whether the "market wants to make a move" is ETH and SOL.
BTC accounts for 57% of the entire market, ETH accounts for 11%, together nearly 70%. Excluding BNB and stablecoins, ETH is the pricing anchor of the altcoin world. Now BTC is hovering around 83,000, if ETH follows without volume, it means funds are still in risk-off mode; if ETH strengthens ahead of BTC, that signals a return of "risk appetite."
SOL is even more extreme, with high volatility, strong manipulation, and many retail investors. In a bull market, it rises more aggressively than ETH, and during pullbacks, it first shakes out the longs. For example, on 10/10 last year, BTC plunged from 122,000 to 103,900, SOL dropped over 7%, DOGE fell 8%, ADA dropped 6.5%—every time the market shakes, SOL and meme coins take the first hit because they have the heaviest leverage and the most intense sentiment.
How to interpret today's market?
BTC stable + ETH volume up → small positions can try SOL/XRP/LINK;
BTC stable + ETH weak → avoid altcoins, money is waiting for macro news;
BTC breaks below 82,800 with volume → don't catch the falling knife on SOL, it drops ruthlessly. $ETH 🌑 Ethereum's early morning sneak attack: from 2,408 up to 2,545, then pulled back to 2,510 — not a reversal, but a “shorts paying to test the market” move
Weekend/early morning sneak attacks are 90% short covering + market makers pulling spikes, not institutional returns.
The truth of the sneak attack in three sentences:
US ETH ETF withdrew 542 million as of the week ending 10.9 (ETHA accounted for 477 million), nine consecutive withdrawals totaling 697 million → institutions haven't returned
But whales swept 166,000 ETH in 72h, OI is dropping, fees slightly negative (Binance -0.0113%) → leverage is being cleared, shorts squeezed together, one bullish candle makes them tremble
2,500 turned from support into resistance, 2,544–2,560 is the first selling pressure wall
Can it continue today? Watch three gates:
Holding 2,510–2,500 = bulls are alive, push to 2,544→2,560
Volume breakout above 2,560 = only then talk about 2,650; failure to break = false warm rebound
Break 2,470 = back to 2,408, further break to watch 2,370 / 2,300
The real plot switch is still the 10.14 CPI
Don’t shout main rise just because it hits 2,544, nor curse it as trash if it falls back to 2,510.
The most expensive sentiment during consolidation is “thinking sneak attack = return.”
(Not investment advice · For reference only) $ETH Live trading learning from each other, daily check-in 61
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价
$BTC $OKB
Stay true to the original intention, return to the original mindset and start over,
Buy back some OKB and white eyes,
Rapid growth makes people chaotic and greedier,
I am like this myself, sometimes I get through it,
Next time it will be fiercer, I grew from around 2300 to a peak of about 14200,
These days it has plummeted back to six or seven thousand, a bit chaotic, mindset also not right,
Used the 5-minute chart, which is a symbol of failure, I deleted the 5-minute chart, slowly returning to the original method,
After writing this, I went to exercise, this is what a normal trader should do, real-time account 7400, let's climb high again Active Trading Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$GRASS three 5-minute segments all lean towards selling. Active buying is 30.7%, 15-minute price -0.13%; volume is 905,000 USDT, which is 1.8 times the average 15-minute volume calculated from the previous hour.$SUI is over, liquidated, gone. I shorted it late at night this time but unexpectedly went the wrong way. Although it's now almost dropping back to the previous short position, it doesn't matter because it's already liquidated. Now I'm really sitting at the same table with Kurumi. Life, can you please give me a break just once? Most of the time, I end up trading in the wrong direction. Maybe there's something wrong with me by nature, and I'm not cut out for this kind of trading.Is the rebound an illusion? Institutions are retreating, shorts are covering, don't catch a falling knife!
1. BTC is stubborn, ETH is hanging in the air
① BTC barely holds support after a spike at resistance, but the moving averages above weigh heavily, making the rebound difficult.
② ETH approaches resistance but lacks strength to break through, with no safety below. Once BTC pulls back, ETH is likely to crash first; a weak rebound is an escape opportunity.
2. Capital betrayal: ETFs are frantically withdrawing funds
① BTC ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of nearly $487 million, and ETH ETFs also lost over $70 million. Institutions are voting with their feet, creating a fatal divergence from price rebounds.
② Without institutional incremental buying, any rise is like a castle in the air, ready to be swallowed by selling pressure at any time.
3. Leverage trap: a false boom propped up by short covering
① 24-hour short liquidations far exceed longs, a typical short squeeze rebound whose fuel is running out.
② Funding rates are extremely low, leveraged longs have not entered, lacking sustained upward momentum. ETH whales are highly concentrated, which is both an expectation and a hidden risk.
4. Macro shadows: CPI and geopolitical double whammy
① CPI and PPI are about to be released; policy path repricing will amplify volatility.
② Middle East tensions are tight; risk-off sentiment may rebound at any time, suppressing risk appetite.
Core summary:
Institutions retreat, shorts cover, retail holds on desperately. The rebound is a rose with thorns, not a reversal!
$BTC $ETH
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 ETH 100x long position gained 34%, altcoins cut losses! This week only focusing on mainstream 🤡
A new week has started, let's first review and set the tone. 🌞
Looking back at this weekend, it was truly a tale of two extremes. The account was held up solely by one "pillar" position, but cutting losses on altcoins also hurt me deeply.
——————
First, the position that gives me the most peace of mind (Image 1):
$ETH 100x long, average price 2527, current price 2535.65! Floating profit directly reached +34.24% (earned 8.65U). In this rebound of mainstream coins, ETH really showed me respect.
But the negative examples were equally brutal (Image 3):
$STRK short, reluctantly stopped loss yesterday afternoon, loss -4.12%.
CHIP short, also couldn't withstand the stop loss sweep, lost -14.70%.
This is a typical case of "mainstream profits, altcoins get cut", going short on altcoins against the trend, only to be ruthlessly taught by the market.
There are also lingering risks (Image 2):
$CL crude oil short grid, still quietly running in the background, currently floating loss -4.86%. Poor liquidity over the weekend caused constant friction, unmatched losses dragging heavily.
——————
📋 This week's macro battle plan (tone setting):
1. Resolutely clean up leftover messes: today find an opportunity to manually stop the crude oil grid, no longer let the bot blindly add positions, protect principal.
2. Focus on mainstream, abandon altcoin shorts: capital is clustering around ETH and BTC, absolutely no more guessing tops to short altcoins this week (especially strong coins like STRK), longs must also be mainstream.
3. Strictly control trades: Monday morning session is volatile, watch more and trade less, use trailing stop profit well on this 100x ETH position, no greed.
💬 Brothers, how's your battle going at the start of the new week?
Did you profit from this ETH rebound?
Should I close the crude oil grid directly today or wait a bit longer?
Discuss your plans for this week in the comments, take advice! 👇
#ETH #STRK #CHIP #CrudeOilCL #OKX #TradingInsights #RetailTraderDiary
(Disclaimer: The above is only a personal trading review record and does not constitute any investment advice. Contract trading is extremely risky, please pay close attention to risk control.) Overall, the account looks pretty good today. The two short positions on $ETH and DOGE are still held, with comfortable profits. Just opened a long position on BTC, currently a slight loss, but the overall account is still in profit.
$DOGE: Entry price 0.09984, current price 0.09504, full position 20X, floating profit 624U, ROI 101%. This position has been held for several days, steadily going down without much adjustment. The short position is still held, targeting 0.09 first; will consider exiting once reached.
$ETH: Entry price 2739.79, current price 2675.86, full position 20X, floating profit 223U, ROI 49%. It was still underwater yesterday, but turned positive today, dropping smoothly. Continue holding, watching for 2600.
$BTC: Entry price 84407.31, current price 84302.30, full position 20X, floating loss 17U, ROI -2.49%. Newly opened long position, just entered near the cost line. Hold and observe for now. As long as BTC doesn’t fall below 83000, it’s not a big problem. The upper target is 86000.
Summary: Short positions are responsible for making money, long positions for testing the waters. The overall account is still in the green. Trading doesn’t need to be complicated; hold on if the direction is right. Don’t panic with light positions even if underwater.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #Ledger确认一台涉事设备遭硬件植入 Whale places a $22.89 million spot BTC buy order as support, will there be a market shift on Monday?
After one night, the three major mainstream coins quietly rebounded. It turns out a whale placed a $22.89 million BTC buy order, boosting confidence for short-term bulls. But a large order does not equal a market reversal; whether the price can continue to rise depends on whether subsequent funds can take over.
$BTC
Currently around 83,700, support at 83,000-83,200, strong support at 80,400, resistance at 84,200-84,500.
Long: Light position entry on pullback to 83,000-83,200, stop loss below 82,500, target 84,500.
Breakout: Consider chasing longs after a solid hold above 84,500, stop loss at 83,800.
Short: Attempt near resistance at 84,800-85,000, stop loss above 85,300.
$ETH
Currently around 2,536, support at 2,480-2,500, resistance at 2,560-2,580.
Long: Light position entry near 2,500, stop loss at 2,460, target 2,580.
Short: Attempt near resistance at 2,580-2,600, stop loss at 2,620.
$SOL
Currently around 111, support at 108-109, resistance at 113-115.
Long: Attempt on pullback to 109-110, stop loss at 107, target 114.
Short: Attempt near resistance at 114.5-115.5, stop loss at 117.
Personally, I think this is more like a consolidation and correction. The whale's buy order can support temporarily but does not indicate a trend reversal. Don't rush to get in; wait for the market to reveal its cards!$BTC whales are accumulating,
$ETH ETF is running away,
$ZEC shorts are being slaughtered.
The three are moving along three completely different paths,
BTC is watching if it can hold above 84000
ETH is watching if 2550 can hold,
ZEC is watching how long the sentiment can keep burning.
The market is not short of opportunities,
What’s lacking is the patience not to chase highs.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 🔓 The total major token unlocks this week amount to approximately $127 million, with CRO accounting for more than half, and DBR having the highest proportion.
On October 17 alone, two large unlocks will occur simultaneously.
Which ones should you watch out for in advance?
📅 This week's unlock calendar (Beijing Time):
· October 15, 8:00｜STRK｜127 million tokens｜about $13.9 million
· October 16, 8:00｜ARB｜92.65 million tokens｜about $18.4 million
· October 17, 8:00｜DBR｜about 618 million tokens｜about $12 million｜10.25% of circulating supply
· October 17, 9:03｜CRO｜about 1.17 billion tokens｜about $69.5 million｜2.33% of circulating supply
· October 18, 0:00｜BARD｜13.75 million tokens｜about $1.72 million
🔍 Analysis: The higher the proportion of circulating supply unlocked, the greater the impact; DBR requires the most attention; unlocking does not equal selling.
⚠️ The CPI at 20:30 on Wednesday is the main focus this week.
Will you avoid unlocked tokens in advance? Reply A for yes / B for no in the comments 👇
$CRO $ARB $STRK #SPCX因星舰发射与解禁引发多空分歧 #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #跟着OKX打卡2049 Event: The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has signaled a review to relax restrictions on cryptocurrency exchange-traded note (Crypto ETN) products, paving the way for individual investors in London to regain access after years of prohibition. Detailed Analysis Notes: Competitive pressure in the financial sector: London is under significant pressure from the surge of Spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wall Street and the EU's MiCA regulatory framework. Maintaining the retail ban causes the centerFirst, record the position of $CFX, then discuss the viewpoint: current price 0.06716, about 13.34% away from the 1-hour support at 0.0582, about 8.40% away from the resistance at 0.0728.
$CFX price is moving, but the volume has not confirmed this move, which is more worth watching than the 24-hour +8.08%. The 1-hour and 4-hour are both slightly strong, with RSI at 45 and 75 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for the upward trend — a breakout above 0.0728; and only one condition to negate the upward trend — a drop below 0.0582. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you had to pick one validation point first, would you focus on confirming the resistance or the breakdown of support?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$BTC current price is 83640.6, resistance at 84000, support at 83206.17.
Bull vs. Bear debate: Should we go long or short now?
Bulls say: Breaking through the previous high of 83129 signals a trend reversal upward; 84000 is just a matter of time, and any pullback is a buying opportunity.
Bears say: The 84000 round number is a huge resistance; after continuous rises, a pullback is needed, and chasing longs at 83640 is just taking the bag.
My experience losing 200,000 U tells me: don’t predict, just follow. The current trend leans bullish, but the position isn’t low.
Trading plan: small position of 5000 U, try going long on a pullback between 83206-83300, stop loss at 83000, target 84000. No chasing highs, no holding losing positions. If it breaks below 83000, the bullish logic fails, reverse position immediately. $ #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ Interest rate hike anchor becomes more expensive, crypto market bleeds first
The September FOMC minutes revealed conflicting signals: 19 votes unanimously pushed the rate to 3.75%–4.00%, but internally it was not unanimous—one faction wants to preemptively tighten, another wants to suppress demand firmly. CME gives a 67.6% probability of another move in December, which is a real-money odds. The 10-year US Treasury yield is 5.29%, touching 5.34% intraday, the highest since 2002, making the global pricing anchor more expensive.
However, a high probability of rate hikes does not necessarily mean risk assets must fall; the key is where the money flows. BTC spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $484.9 million in one day, with IBIT accounting for $207.7 million, the strongest in three and a half months; ETH ETFs have cumulatively lost $579 million in October, flowing out for nine consecutive days, breaking the record since December 2025.
On the liquidation chart, BTC has $1.592 billion long positions stacked below 81,777, with over $1 billion liquidated in 24 hours, of which $930 million are long positions. Thick below, thin above. Don't place stop losses right in the densest liquidation zone center—that's the system's target for sweeping orders; wait for one side to clear before judging the direction.
Gold provides a counterexample: US gold ETFs attracted $11.7 billion in Q3, with central bank gold purchases hedging fiat currency credit, supporting this non-interest-bearing asset.
Next, watch how the October 14 CPI/PPI will rewrite the December rate hike bets; then watch the dense defense line at 81,777—will it hold or be completely broken through.SOL, I'm more concerned about whether the money stays after the hype 👀
$SOL is currently around 111 USD. The stablecoin market cap on the Solana chain is about 16.1 billion USD, and the DEX trading volume in the past 24 hours is about 1.14 billion USD, so there is still a foundation of funds and trading.
However, in the past week, the stablecoin market cap has decreased by about 2.8%, and DEX trading volume is also declining. What I want to see next is whether funds can flow back in and whether trading can continue to be active.
For now, I'll keep focusing on SOL and will closely watch these two numbers.Here's the conclusion first. BTC is currently above 83,600, up about 0.7% in the last 24 hours, ETH at 2,533, with a similar gain. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidations across the network reached 65.54 million USD, with long positions at 32.32 million and short positions at 33.22 million, almost evenly split. The core judgment is this: the $3,773 rebound from 80,427 to 84,200 was mainly driven by squeezed short positions—because on the spot ETF side, there was still a net outflow of 729 million USD on Wednesday and Thursday, meaning the money that is truly "bullish and buying" hasn't returned yet. Why say this? On Thursday, BTC dropped to a low of 80,427, and short positions piled up between 82,000 and 84,000 accordingly. Then the price retraced, initially closing out scattered short positions; closing shorts requires buying back, which pushed the price higher, which in turn squeezed out more shorts, creating a growing cycle. This is a typical short squeeze: the price rises, but the fuel for the rise is forced buying from the opposing side, not new capital entering the market. There are three supporting points: first, BTC spot ETFs had net outflows of 484.9 million on Wednesday and 244 million on Thursday, totaling 729 million, which is "long-term money" withdrawing; second, ETH spot ETFs have had net outflows for eight consecutive days, totaling over 637 million USD; third, 24-hour liquidations have dropped to 65.54 million, less than half of yesterday's 140 million.MAGIC average price 0.10595→0.1322
ZEC average price 1236.31→1279.64
Both long positions are fully leveraged with high multiples, the floating profit is indeed tempting, but only oneself knows the torment of watching the market.
With 50x leverage, a 1% fluctuation in ZEC means a 50% fluctuation in principal, and the margin tolerance of 15.61 is extremely low.
1. High leverage only captures the middle segment of the trend, do not be greedy for the start or end
2. Maintaining a margin of 1303% Is this a real breakout or a fake rebound? To be honest, until the market closes, no one dares to make a definitive conclusion. I'll just discuss a few points. 🧐
First, look at sentiment. Fear and greed have risen from a low point but are far from greed, indicating the market is just catching its breath, not everyone is getting overly excited.
Second, look at capital. Stablecoins show signs of inflow, contract rates aren't crazy, leverage is restrained; this kind of correction is more sustainable than a violent short squeeze.
Third, look at structure. BTC is still testing within a downtrend, ETH hasn't reclaimed key moving averages; without a breakout, it can only be considered a rebound.
Fourth, look at macro. The dollar is relatively strong, rate cut expectations are fluctuating, geopolitical disturbances persist, and risk assets could take another hit at any time.
So my view: short-term optimism is okay, but don't be impulsive mid-term. $BTC needs to hold above 82,000 and $ETH recover 2,550 before talking about takeoff; if not, previous lows might be tested again. 📉 This is not a trade call, just a record.$SOL rose 1.12% in 24 hours, but I still remain bearish; this rebound won't go far. During the rebound, short positions were liquidated by only $2.52 million, and long positions by $2.38 million, almost balanced on both sides. Against a contract open interest of $940 million, this liquidation volume is negligible. The shorts were not forced to cover, so the most direct buying pressure on the rise is missing, and leveraged positions remain unchanged on the market. The funding rate increased from 0.0015% to 0.0066% over three periods, just as background: the added leverage during the rebound is biased toward the long side. The funding rate doesn't indicate direction, but these positions have costs near the current price and will be the first to break when prices fall. The chart shows lower highs continuously, with the 7/25/99 moving averages in a bearish alignment, and price staying below the averages. A daily volatility of 3.5% does not change this structure. Next, watch 108.89; if it breaks below, long leverage will start to be squeezed out. Conditions for a bullish reversal: closing firmly above 112.73, along with a significant increase in short position liquidations. Everyone else is showing off huge bullish candles and getting rich, but I'm the only one worrying about these tiny profits.
$DOGE: Opened at 0.09984, current price 0.09504, full position 20X, floating profit 624U, ROI 101%. Although this trade doubled, I held it for several days as it kept going down, suffering sleepless nights in between. Still holding the short position, aiming first for 0.09; I really won't exit if it doesn't drop below 0.09.
$ETH: Opened at 2739.79, current price 2675.86, full position 20X, floating profit 223U, ROI 49%. I was trapped yesterday and almost cut losses in panic, but today it finally turned positive. The drop was smooth, so I'll keep holding and watch 2600. Earning this small change isn't enough to make up for my mental loss last night.
$BTC: Opened at 84407.31, current price 84302.30, full position 20X, floating loss 17U, ROI -2.49%. Newly opened long position, basically started bothering me near the cost line right after entry. I'll hold and observe for now. As long as BTC doesn't fall below 83000, I'll pretend I didn't see it. The upper target is 86000. Please, main players, don't mess with me.
Summary: Short positions earn some hard money, long positions are dragging behind, but it's not as joyful as imagined. Trading is so tough, constantly oscillating between breaking even and liquidation every day. Light positions trapped are even more anxious.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% Wandering Goose checked the market today, and NEAR surged again. Current price $5.90, a 24-hour surge of 11.19%, with a high of $5.93 and a low of $5.17 — a 14.7% rise from the low point. Trading volume $36.4 million, rising with increased volume. This is not the first time. In the past 4 weeks, NEAR has risen 83% cumulatively, while BTC only rose 5%, and ETH 1% in the same period. Some statistics even show a 30-day increase as high as 172%. Market cap surged to $7 billion, pushing Stellar (XLM) out of the global top 20 by market cap. With such a big rise, is it hype or is there something real? Wandering Goose took a look and found that NEAR has indeed been intensively landing recently. First, NEAR Intents trading volume broke $33.2 billion. What is Intents? Simply put, users only need to say "I want to swap asset A for asset B," and the rest — routing, cross-chain, finding the best price — is all automatically handled by NEAR's network. No need for you to manually transfer between different chains or compare prices on different DEXs. This system's trading volume has already reached $33.29 billion and is still accelerating — at the end of September it was $31 billion, increasing by $2.2 billion in two weeks. NEAR co-founder said the near.com platform has integrated cross-chain spot, tokenized stocks, wealth management, and perpetual contracts. The goal is "any asset for any asset" — whether you want to swap BTC for Nvidia stock or buy perpetual contracts with USDT, one entry point handles it all. Most Intents infrastructure isLook, another screen full of short positions.
Everyone says to follow the trend, but only I know how cold it is to go against human nature.
$ASTER R, short at 0.7125, current price 0.6149.
Unrealized profit +439.61U, +137.09%.
Is it a windfall? I only feel dazed.
Margin 14.63U, the unrealized profit is 30 times that. This is not profit; it's just a temporary illusion the market lent me. The end of a short position is often a piercing arrow through the clouds.
$ETH, short at 2504.41, current price 2535.53.
Unrealized loss -311.2U, -6.21%.
Like someone who once treated you well but you pushed away, then turned back and slapped me hard. The liquidation price is far at 2991, no rush, but watching it climb makes my heart feel like it's being slowly pulled down.
$SOL, short at 109.73, current price 111.22.
Unrealized loss -29.79U, -13.57%.
It ultimately reversed. The candle in the wind yesterday has gone out today. The liquidation price is 120.05; it doesn't need to rise much to drag me out of my luck. I'm still holding on, but I don't know if I'm waiting to break even or to give up.
Afraid to give back profits, unwilling to accept losses.
This is probably the truest fate of those who short.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 A: What dimensions do $BTC, $ETH, and $OP represent when observed together?
B: BTC anchors the market cycle, ETH reflects the overall capital flow in the crypto ecosystem, and OP indicates the user and capital expansion speed of the Optimism L2 ecosystem.
A: What is the significance of observing them as a group?
B: Observing these three coins together makes it easier to judge whether the OP-based Layer 2 network has formed a sustained trend, compared to just watching the price movements of a single coin.
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 Last night SOL suddenly surged with volume, shooting up from around 109 to 112 in one go. After consolidating for so long, we finally see some movement from the bulls.
This morning, I personally remain bullish since the volume on this bullish candle is considerable, indicating there are still buyers willing to step in.
Now it depends on whether the 111 level can hold. If the pullback doesn't break below it, I will consider lightly going long, first watching if 112.1 can be broken. After breaking through, I'll focus on 113–115.
However, if it falls back below 110 again, we need to be cautious that last night's surge might have been in vain.
I personally prefer buying on dips rather than chasing the highs directly. Today, let's see if the bulls can take down 112. $SOL $BTC $STRK has risen, and those with short positions feel worse than those with long positions.
$STRK and $MAGIC are both rising together.
There's no particular reason for the rise; it just keeps going up.
What is this number:
Originally a 100% unrealized profit, now it's gone.
It's not a loss, it's profit made and then given back.
What did he actually do:
No stop loss, no closing the position.
Holding on, waiting for it to drop back.
Leverage wasn't mentioned, but a position that can withstand this kind of increase is probably not heavy.
Here's the problem: unrealized profit doesn't count as money.
For positions not closed, the number changes as the price moves.
100% turns into 0, with only a period of increase in between.
Waiting for a bearish candle is more realistic than waiting for it to fall back to the original point.
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 $STRK $MAGIC 1. $ETH previously surged rapidly to 2554, then after touching the upper Bollinger Band, it began a slight bearish pullback with oscillation.
This is a typical high-level consolidation after a pulse surge; the short-term bullish momentum has started to weaken, and there is no further volume expansion to break through the 2554 high.
2. Currently stuck oscillating around 2540, bulls and bears are starting to exchange control:
Upper resistance: 2554 → 2560 Bollinger Band upper band, this is a strong short-term resistance zone; breaking through here can continue the short-term rebound;
Lower support: 2533 (VWAP) → 2522 Bollinger Band middle band.
If it breaks below 2522, the 15-minute short-term rebound structure will weaken, and it will retest the 2496 low.Scared to tears, scared to tears, woke up and didn't expect it to turn out like this.
$SOL: Entry price 109.93, current price 111.14, isolated 3X, margin 701.91U, floating profit 23.22U, ROI 3.30%. This position is the only bright spot in the account. In this bloody storm, it is like a candle, shining alone.
$BCH: Entry price 282.9, current price 285.6, isolated 20X, margin 1231.76U, floating loss 162.4U, ROI -18.69%. This position was floating a profit of 150U and ROI 17% a few days ago. At that time, seeing the numbers steadily rise was reassuring. But then the price reversed and surged up, the short position was directly counterattacked, all profits disappeared, and now it’s a loss of 162U. Every bullish candle under 20X feels like cutting flesh.
$DOGE: Entry price 0.084763, current price 0.0866983, isolated 20X, margin 837.8U, floating loss 378.07U, ROI -45.66%. This position is the deepest wound in recent days and also an old problem repeatedly not handled well. From the highest floating profit to now, the difference is nearly six hundred U. Should I reduce the position or stop loss?
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #跟着OKX打卡2049 What exactly is staked in the $CELO staking ecosystem? CELO, stablecoins, and BTC each have distinct roles
The core asset staked in the Celo network is only one: CELO. Holders stake CELO to participate in governance voting, elect validators, and maintain network security, earning Epoch rewards. Currently, about 197 million CELO are staked, accounting for 37% of the eligible supply. To improve capital efficiency, the community has also launched StakedCelo liquid staking, where depositing CELO grants stCELO, which can continue to be used in DeFi.
Stablecoins do not directly participate in network consensus staking but can be deposited through lending protocols like Aave and Moola to earn interest. The main assets include USDC, USDT, and cUSD. The yield varies with market supply and demand and is considered application-layer income rather than on-chain security staking.
BTC cannot be directly used for staking on the Celo network, but after bridging via tBTC, it can serve as a reserve asset backing cUSD. It can also act as collateral in protocols like Morpho to borrow stablecoins or provide liquidity for trading pairs.
Therefore, Celo's staking system is layered: CELO is responsible for network security and governance, stablecoins handle DeFi yields, and BTC supports underlying reserves and collateral. Each has a different role but collectively supports the ecosystem's operation.That guy from Coinbase posted that they fed internal data to a small model, and its anti-fraud performance is even better than those big models.
F1 score is 9.6 points higher, and latency is less than half.
At first glance, I was stunned—not because the technology is so amazing, but because it suddenly struck me as kind of funny.
We retail traders strain our eyes watching K-line charts, while they’re researching how to use AI to catch bad actors behind the scenes.
That gap is even bigger than the difference between my position and a whale’s.
But to be fair, what’s really worth looking at here isn’t the model itself.
It’s Coinbase telling everyone: don’t blindly worship big and all-encompassing; specialized tools within small circles are more powerful.
It’s the same with trading—you don’t need to know everything, just master one or two signals.
I’m more convinced by this simple approach now.
The more tricks you try, the easier it is to get yourself tangled up.
#AI与量子威胁下，区块链安全如何升级？
#OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注 $ETH This $INJ right now is like a piece of Wagyu beef that's been frozen in the fridge for three days, dropping 5.93% in 24 hours, all the juice drained out, leaving only a pool of blood on the cutting board—but it's precisely at times like this that the old chef smells the warming aroma.
First, check the heat: the RSI short-term cycle has dropped to 32.2, while the long-term cycle still holds steady at 49.7. What does this mean? It means the main pot isn't burnt yet, just a layer of cold oil poured on top. The short-term Bollinger Band price is resting at 13%, only 0.8% away from the lower band; the mid-term is even more extreme, 2%, just 0.2% from the lower band—clinging to the bottom of the pot, the spatula is almost scraping the burnt layer. This bottom-hugging posture isn't about burning; it's the moment just before the pot is lifted, releasing that fragrant char.
My judgment is: this is the prep stage, not the serving stage. The 5.93% cut is trimming the foam, leaving the rich broth behind. But remember—don't turn up the heat just yet.
The key ratio is here: current price is 4.92, but the real entry point is at 4.76, which means waiting for another 3.3% drop to let this piece of meat fully warm up and the blood drain out. If you rush in now, it's like throwing raw meat directly into hot oil—burnt outside but still cold inside.
First dish out: 5.31, which is an 8.0% juice reduction from the current price, this is the appetizer.
Second dish out: 5.42, 10.2%, this is the dessert moment when the main course is served.
But what if this dish fails? The stop loss must be set at 4.19, 14.8% down—this is the bottom line of your whole pot of soup. If it goes beyond this, it's not a seasoning issue, the ingredients are spoiled, dump the whole pot, don't be reluctant.
📈 Long:
Entry: 4.76 (current price -3.3%)
Take Profit 1: 5.31 (+8.0%)
Take Profit 2: 5.42 (+10.2%)
Stop Loss: 4.19 (-14.8%)
How to calculate risk-reward ratio? From entry to the second target, you earn 10.2%, but risk 14.8% loss at stop loss. This isn't a great ratio, so your position size should only be used as a "spice," a small pinch to enhance flavor, never as the "main course" portion. The RSI short-term 32.2 looks tempting, but the long-term 49.7 indicates the big pot of soup hasn't turned sour yet, so don't rush to serve.
The extra spicy chili has already been cut and placed on the chopping board; this trade's spiciness is medium-hot—enough to enhance flavor but won't burn your stomach. Whoever treats it as a staple food will be hugging the toilet all night.
The soup hasn't boiled through yet, wait for the first string of bubbles.Latest News
Macroeconomic Policy
The White House poured cold water on the Russia-Ukraine "energy ceasefire," saying it is only a potential agreement and pointed out that the attacks on Russian refineries actually harm the relationship between US and Ukrainian leaders. This "refinery for refinery" deal is clearly an unequal exchange, and whether it can be implemented remains highly uncertain. In the geopolitical game, energy facilities have become bargaining chips. In the short term, disruptions to crude oil and risk assets will continue to fluctuate, so don't rush to trade on this as a certainty of positive news.
One-sentence comment: The ceasefire is still only "potential," and if the market gets excited prematurely, it is likely to be proven wrong.
(Note: This round of newsflash only involves the above macroeconomic policy content. There are no other available real-time news on other topics, so no forced compilation is made to avoid fabrication.)
Before geopolitical risks materialize, do you think this kind of news is a safe-haven buying opportunity for $BTC, or just another emotional pulse?Under the surgical light, a cardiac arrest lasting four and a half minutes results in irreversible brain damage; $IMX's 24H increase of 3.56% resembles more of a sympathetic storm than a recovery. Currently, on the 0.13 ECG monitor, the short-term RSI is 68.2, just one myocardial layer away from the overbought zone; the long-term RSI is 52.8, indicating that the long-term myocardial contractility remains mild. The short-term RSI has exceeded 64, triggering a sell signal—this is not sinus rhythm, but compensatory tachycardia.
The Bollinger Bands short-term price is at 111%, 0.3% below the upper band, with the tip piercing the vessel wall, and 3.4% above the lower band; the mid-term is at 89%, 0.5% above the upper band, and 4.4% above the lower band. Perfusion pressure is too high, causing microcirculation spasms. Although the price surface remains at 0.13, the 0.3% adherence to the upper band indicates that the bulls' positive inotropic drugs have reached their limit; pushing further will only cause ventricular fibrillation.
Diagnosis: Not ischemic necrosis, but reflux after overperfusion. The 24H increase of 3.56% masks the short-term overbought condition. RSI 68.2 resonates with the Bollinger upper band overflow, forming the "paradoxical motion" visible on intraoperative transesophageal ultrasound. Shorting is not emotional therapy but a correction of hemodynamic imbalance: first wait for the rebound, then block.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.13 (current price +2.7%)
Take Profit 1: 0.12 (-6.2%)
Take Profit 2: 0.12 (-4.2%)
Stop Loss: 0.14 (+13.2%)
This plan resembles extracorporeal circulation: entry is set 2.7% above the current price, waiting for reactive hypertension after ischemia and reperfusion; if the price does not rebound, it indicates the aortic block position has changed, and thoracotomy should not be forced. Take Profit 1 is 6.2% below entry, Take Profit 2 is 4.2% below entry, gradually reducing tension; Stop Loss at 0.14 is 13.2% above entry, and once breached, like a suture tearing, all further operations must stop immediately.
The long-term RSI of 52.8 does not support the bulls, the Bollinger midline at 89% is only 0.5% below the upper band, and the upper space is as narrow as a calcified annulus. Target 0.12 corresponds to a retracement of -6.2% and -4.2% from entry, a reasonable range for clearing thrombus and restoring perfusion. Stop Loss at 0.14, 13.2% above, is the surgical boundary; crossing it means no minimally invasive options remain. Pericardial tamponade does not first cause pain; it lowers blood pressure first; looking at $IMX from the 0.13 central venous pressure, the short-term RSI 68.2 resembles a heart rate rebound, the long-term 52.8 is not synchronized, and the pressure gradient has already tilted.
The surgical field is clear: $IMX's lesion is bull overcompensation, not value ischemia.$PENGU weekly was locked in a range between 0.006 and 0.011 for ten months, and the 14% weekly drop this week is just another rejection from the upper boundary of that range. It has failed there for the third time. Range rules apply: buy at the bottom or wait for a breakout above the ceiling. The target on a breakout is 0.0218, about 165% from the current price. Patience inside the box.$LIT No vision, can't hold on, the profit this time is as thin as paper, but I love it to death.
Just finished lunch and checked the market, LIT was consolidating at the bottom, retraced and held steady, I saw funds quietly entering, so I signaled to go long, got in around 3.5738 first, don't wait for a breakout to admit you understood it.
Woke up and saw 3.8296, +359.14%, the big gain was worth the wait, the earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly sweet, time to enjoy a good meal.
Don't lose patience in the volatility, then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. Being out of position isn't a sin, reckless opening of positions is the mistake.
Take profits when you should, lock in 75% gains first, protect the remaining 25% at cost, and let it run if there's room.
If you haven't gotten in yet, don't hit your knee, chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, patiently await good news.
$ADA $ETH Brothers, BTC and ETH took a breather over the weekend, but there's a change beneath the surface that's more worth watching than the price itself
$BTC $83,650 | $ETH $2,534
Bitcoin rebounded from a low of 80,400 to around 83,650, while Ethereum consolidated near 2,534. In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $95.85 million, with shorts accounting for 81.54%. Shorts got squeezed during the rebound.
The ETH staking exit queue has almost cleared
At the end of September, there were still 851,000 ETH queued for unlocking, and the market worried this selling pressure would crash the price. Now the exit queue has dropped to about 154,000 ETH, while 1.68 million ETH are waiting to be staked. The queue entering staking is 11 times that of exiting. Exchange ETH balances have also dropped to 3.49% of total supply, the lowest since November 2024.
In short, most who wanted to sell have already sold, and newcomers are lining up to lock their coins.
But one data point to watch: ETH open interest on Hyperliquid has reached $3.3 billion, surpassing Bitcoin, with 67% of traders holding long positions—longs are crowded on ETH.
Technically, 2,400 is the lifeline for ETH; holding it is necessary to challenge 2,806 or even 3,000. For BTC, 82,000-82,300 is the first line of defense, with 83,500 above as short-term resistance.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 🌅 Four coins on Monday morning: BTC is waiting for CPI at the 83000 level, ENA slightly up, landlord token down 1.7%, HYPE breaks 85
$BTC 82904.7, down 0.18%, waiting for CPI release at the 83000 level. Weekend trading volume halved, both bulls and bears are waiting for tomorrow night's data. ETF saw the largest single-day net outflow in three and a half months last week, institutions are exiting, but if CPI misses expectations, it may trigger short covering. Liquidity is better in the morning than at dawn, but no big moves before CPI.
$ENA 0.22276, up 0.35%, rebounded from 0.214 to 0.222. Interest-bearing protocols have attracted funds after overselling, but during the rate hike cycle, liquidity is generally drained from interest-bearing assets, limiting the rebound strength.
$SLX 0.05868, down 1.74%, fell a bit while the market was flat. The 0.06 level has been tested repeatedly for almost two months; every time it drops, funds buy in but it just doesn't rally. AI capacity expansion hasn't stopped, wafer fabs still rent equipment, logic unchanged, funds are waiting for CPI data release.
$HYPE 84.929, down 1.22%, dropped from 85.39 to 84.93. The 85 support line, backed by 97% revenue buybacks, was nearly broken. Major holders have stopped losses on HYPE, big players are exiting. CPI data impacts HYPE more than BTC.
This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Each burn is real, but it does not equal an immediate equivalent buy order appearing on the market.
Base fee burns permanently reduce the corresponding amount of $ETH, which is a fact verifiable at the protocol level. However, burns occur during transaction settlement, reducing the existing supply, and are not the same as a spot buy order of the same amount appearing simultaneously in the market.
Senders may have already held a gas inventory, and applications might have prepared funds in advance, so "how much is burned today" cannot be directly translated as "how much new buy demand is added today."
Supply reduction and buy demand increase can both ultimately affect scarcity, but they happen through different mechanisms. The former changes net issuance, while the latter changes the current order book. Short-term prices are also influenced by leverage, macro liquidity, and holders' willingness to sell, so a high burn day can still see price drops, and a low burn phase can see price increases.
In the long term, stable demand for block space remains important because it continuously consumes $ETH and requires ecosystem participants to prepare settlement assets. Inventory replenishment may lag behind burns or be offset by other capital flows. But the expression must be accurate: burns reinforce supply constraints, not immediate price guarantees. Separating the two allows us to acknowledge the value of EIP-1559 while avoiding packaging every on-chain metric as a guaranteed price pump.$CELO welcomes new investors, and the community is accelerating its pace. The Celo ecosystem has recently attracted a group of heavyweight new investors, while the construction and expansion speed of the entire community has also noticeably increased. If you are still viewing this chain with an outdated perspective, you might miss the structural changes that are happening. First, let's look at the entry of new investors. The most eye-catching move comes from Nasdaq-listed company Opera. Opera has proposed a plan to replace its existing quarterly cash payment agreement with Celo with a one-time allocation of 160 million CELO tokens. If approved by community vote, Opera will hold 27% of CELO's circulating supply and 16% of the maximum supply, officially elevating it from a partner to a core long-term shareholder of the network. Opera's confidence comes from the strong performance of its wallet product MiniPay, which has registered over 14 million users and processed more than 420 million transactions across more than 66 countries since launching on Celo in 2023. This investment essentially deeply binds Opera's massive user traffic with Celo's network value. Another new financing is also worth noting. The RWA lending platform Untangled Finance completed a $13.5 million funding round led by Fasanara Capital and has officially launched on the Celo network, introducing tokenized private credit business. This means Celo has added another player in the real-world asset track.Big buyers are buying, but the price is still falling
In the past few days, about fourteen thousand $BTC have been bought.
More than one hundred fifty thousand $ETH have also been acquired.
Where does this money come from:
These are estimates, not verified net purchases.
Large buy orders are placed below, only executed when the price drops.
Execution does not mean someone is actively buying up.