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Woke up early in the morning
Saw $ZEC made a 50% profit, decisively took profits this time, didn’t hold on to die, learned from previous losses, afraid the profit would be completely given back in the end
Then continued shorting $SOL, after observing these two days, found sol is still weak, tried a small short position 📉, will hold for a couple of days first
Still holding the short position on $XIAOMI, the market will open soon, let's see how it performs today. Many people are bearish on Xiaomi just by looking at the recent financial report. Stock trading is about expectations; the recent financial report has already been reflected in the stock price, it will rebound later, this expectation won’t change, let’s wait and see!
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出
@OKX中文 @OKX星球 $SOL is currently around $117.7 to $118.1, after reaching a 24-hour high of $119.6 and then pulling back, fluctuating in the short term between $116.7 and $120. In the medium term, it has rebounded from the June low with a structure leaning towards recovery. Continuous weekly net inflows from ETFs provide support, but it has been blocked twice near $125, and momentum has yet to confirm a breakout. Key resistance above is between $120 and $125; only a breakout with volume will have a chance to challenge $132 to $150. Support below is between $115 and $117; if broken, it may retest $106 to $110. The current trend is cautiously recovering, and in the short term, it is more suitable to observe whether $125 can be effectively reclaimed rather than chasing longs based solely on the rebound. "Slap of Leverage"
This move by the green-haired trader is like throwing a match into a pot of oil.
On $BTC, he simultaneously opened a 75x isolated long and a 100x cross long, both with entry costs above 84000. The positions were just opened around midnight, and within two to three hours, the market only dropped less than 1%, about seven to eight hundred dollars, yet the account was already severely damaged: one position lost 71%, the other 60%, totaling over 3000 U. It’s not that the direction was wildly wrong, but leverage amplified normal fluctuations into fatal wounds.
$ETH was even more urgent. With 100x isolated leverage, 30 long contracts entered at 2693, within an hour the price dropped to 2678, just a 15-dollar, less than 1% decline, but the principal evaporated nearly 62%, over 500 U lost. There were also short orders below that weren’t fully closed, likely repeatedly harvested in the crossfire of longs and shorts.
The cruelest part of high leverage is that the market doesn’t need to crash; it only needs to shake lightly for the positions to collapse first. Frequent order openings and heavy positions charging forward may seem aggressive, but in reality, they leave life and death to minute-level fluctuations. The market doesn’t target anyone; it’s just that leverage first wipes out the margin for error.
#比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 Looking at this account, I fell into deep thought.
Both are long positions, both are "buy," so why is the difference so huge?!🤡
Big coin (BTC) 10x full position, steady as an old dog, comfortably floating profit +5892 U (+7%). Estimated liquidation price at 75,000, this position is so safe I even want to take a nap.😎
Then look at the neighbor's SOL... 50x isolated margin, opening average price 120.33, current price 118.74. Although it only dropped less than 2 points, the power of leverage directly turned the profit into -66.06%!💀
Floating loss of 159 U is not much, but this -66% red number is literally torturing my heart. Liquidation price 80.73, now it's like walking a tightrope.
The worst tragedy in crypto is: using money earned from big coin to pay tuition for altcoins. $BTC $SOL $BTC $ETH $USELESS The volume of coins on today's gainers list is generally low. The main reason is that most of the listed tokens are small-cap altcoins and Meme coins with very thin order book depth. These types of coins don't require huge funds; a small number of buy orders can quickly push the price up by seven to eight percent, which is completely different from large-cap coins like BTC and ETH.
Many of the rallies are not driven by large inflows of new funds but are more passive buying triggered by short stop-losses, resulting in a pulse-like market. The exchange's gainers list sorts only by percentage increase, naturally filtering out low-liquidity small coins, while large-cap coins with small fluctuations rarely make the list.
Just like the USELESS I hold, this rebound is a volume-shrinking recovery without a large amount of new funds taking over. This kind of market rises quickly but lacks support; after the heat fades, the decline is equally rapid. It is only suitable as a window to reduce losses, not as a trend reversal.13 days into this short, and instead of crashing, the market is slowly testing my patience. $BTC is still around $84K,$ETH near $2.68K, and my short positions remain stuck in limbo. The plan was to hold for 2–4 weeks, but the market keeps refusing to break down. Even with high Treasury yields and plenty of bearish headlines, PCE gave buyers another boost. Now NFP is next. Will weak data trigger another drop, or will the market once again turn bad news into a bullish reaction? No more adding. JWaiting for Nonfarm Payrolls
The Federal Reserve is caught in the middle. Price pressures have indeed eased a bit, and the core PCE decline makes the market think a rate hike in October is unlikely. Goldman Sachs has even postponed rate hikes until the end of the year. But the labor market is not convinced; once ADP data came out, resilience remains, and Kashkari continues to hawkishly signal that the door for another hike this year is still open. Inflation gives hope, employment holds it back, no one dares to move first, so everyone waits for the Nonfarm Payrolls.
The crypto market is similarly stuck. BTC's upward momentum is weak, and its pullbacks find support, oscillating at high levels with no one daring to take heavy positions before the data. ETH's decline is limited, and so is its rise; ETF and upgrade expectations support it, but it can't break out into an independent trend. SOL rose too fast earlier, and this round of pullback is also quick; first, watch for support. OKB's volatility is small, suitable for long-term holding, but no short-term highlights. XRP still follows declines but not rises, lacking catalysts for improvement.
Now both bulls and bears are waiting. Inflation easing is good news, but strong employment is a constraint. Without Nonfarm Payrolls data, any directional guess is half likely to be wrong. Rather than taking sides early, it's better to wait for the data to land and sentiment to digest, then see how BTC chooses. Take light positions and follow the trend.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 $ETH $BTC It's the 14th day of shorting the grid, and I'm starting to doubt my own judgment,
feeling a bit mentally exhausted!
I've held the position for almost two weeks. The price has never returned to the cost line. Last time, bad news suddenly turned into good news, and at midnight today, there was no good news, yet Bitcoin pulled from 83,000 to nearly 85,000.
The most frustrating thing is not just losing money, but the repeated tug-of-war of "it looks like it's going to drop but it just won't." BTC and ETH have failed to break resistance several times; according to previous logic, there should have been a pullback by now, but each time it bounces back. Bad news fully priced in turns into good news, PCE below expectations spikes then falls back, non-farm payrolls haven't come yet, and I'm already getting anxious.
Three grids, and I'm floating at a loss again!!
Tonight is the non-farm payrolls. I know I shouldn't predict the direction, but I can't help thinking:
If the data is weak, will I be forced to hold again?
If the data is strong, will it give me a breather?
Will bad news turn into good news again?
Will bad news be fully priced in again, and then the price won't fall?
Are there any brothers holding positions like me? How long have you been holding? What are your thoughts now?
$BTC $ETH $SOL $ETH ETH is currently around $2,705, having reached a 24-hour high of $2,722 before pulling back, with short-term pressure repeatedly near $2,720. The mid-term structure has been somewhat recovering since the rebound in September, but ETFs have recently seen net outflows again, causing fluctuations in capital flow. Key resistance above is at $2,720-$2,750; only if volume increases and it stabilizes there will there be a chance to challenge $2,850-$3,000. On the downside, support is first seen at $2,650-$2,660; if broken, a retest of $2,550-$2,600 is possible. Current volatility is relatively low, and the trend has not yet confirmed a strengthening. In the short term, it is more suitable to observe key levels and capital flow changes rather than chasing longs based solely on rebounds. 今天这种盘面，反而让我觉得挺舒服。 ZEC 目前在 $1,435 附近，前面冲到 $1,493 后开始回落，24小时跌幅看起来只有一点点，但真正值得注意的不是跌了多少，而是上涨节奏正在发生变化。 短线指标已经开始降温： RSI6 回落到 48.6 附近，已经从高位掉进中性区域，短线买盘明显不像前几天那么积极。 MACD 目前 DIF 仍压在 DEA 上方，但多头柱体已经明显缩短。如果后续出现死叉，短线调整可能进一步扩大。 KDJ 的 J 值也从高位拐头向下。 所以现在更像是： 价格还没真正破位，但上涨动能已经开始衰减。 当然，ZEC 最近的基本面也不能完全忽略。近期链上仍能看到大额地址从交易所转出 ZEC 的情况，9月30日就有一笔约 2,000 ZEC、价值约280万美元 的资金从 Binance 提出并集中到一个地址。与此同时，Zcash 相关 ETF 资金也出现过阶段性流出。 这意味着市场现在并不是单纯的“没人要 ZEC”，而是： 有人在积累，也有人在减仓，短线多空正在重新定价。 再看大盘。 BTC 现货 ETF 连续9天净流入、累计约 31亿美元 的强势纪录已经结束，最新单日反