#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
About SeptHikeOddsHit90%
US August PPI rose 5.4% YoY above expectations; CPI rose 0.4% MoM with core CPI up 0.3% MoM, even as the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. CME rate futures now price a Sept 25bps hike at nearly 90%. Goldman Sachs shifted from no-hike to a Sept hike; TD Securities flagged a possible new tightening cycle. Risk assets held up: US equities and BTC showed resilience post-data. Market debate has moved from 'will they hike' to 'will they keep going'. FOMC drops Sept 16.
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🇺🇸 U.S. diesel prices just broke above $6/gal for the first time, adding fresh pressure to inflation.
Supply constraints and Middle East tensions are keeping refined-fuel prices elevated, which could strengthen rate-hike expectations and push Treasury yields higher.
That’s a headwind for risk assets like stocks and BTC, while supporting the dollar and energy.
For now, the key driver remains Fed policy expectations—not diesel alone.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow
#Crypto’s most important chart this weekend isn’t crypto.
Fed-hike odds for Sept. 16 jumped to ~86% after CPI. The U.S. 10Y ended near 4.97%, while #Brent recently hit $107.63.
Higher #oil → #inflation pressure → higher #rates → more expensive liquidity.
Altcoins now have a 3-day macro countdown.
Sometimes the catalyst isn’t on-chain. It’s in Washington.
#OKX1MillionStrategist
#OKXGlobalAssetStore
#USDieselBreaks6Dollars
A September rate hike now seems almost unavoidable . How will the prices of $BTC $ETH , and $OKB move in the future? Does a rate hike necessarily lead to a price drop? I don't think so. Historically, it mainly depends on whether the hike meets expectations. The current price has already priced in the rate hike expectation. If the Fed raises rates by more than 25 basis points this month, prices will fall sharply. Otherwise, it should be fine.#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期
🚨 THE RATE-CUT HOPES ARE FADING — AND BTC IS STARTING TO SHOW IT.
PPI and CPI are still coming in sticky, September hike expectations are climbing, and Bitcoin keeps struggling to gain momentum around $80K.
That’s not exactly the setup bulls want to see. 👀
$BTC → Bearish bias.
$75K is the first major level I’m watching. Lose it, and $70K or even lower could come back into play.
$ETH → Higher beta, higher risk.
If BTC breaks down, ETH could move even faster to the downside.
#DailyOrbit
$BTC & $ETH HAVE TWO BIG CATALYSTS AHEAD
September 15: U.S. crypto legislation
Thursday: Fed rate decision
Bullish outcome → BTC back above $80K, ETH can challenge $2,666.
Hawkish Fed → stronger dollar, higher yields, BTC risks losing $76K and ETH could follow.
Next week could set the tone for the next major move.
@OKX中文 @OKX成长学院 #SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121%
RATE‑CUT HOPES ARE FADING QUICKLY.
PPI/CPI remain sticky, September hike expectations are rising, and BTC is already losing momentum near $80K.
$BTC → Bearish bias. $75K is the first key test. Lose it, and $70K or lower comes into play.
$ETH → Higher beta, higher risk. If BTC breaks down, ETH could fall harder.📊🎰
$ZEC → After such a massive run, profit‑taking risk is increasing. I’m increasingly watching the bearish side.
PPI and CPI are still coming in sticky, September hike expectations are climbing, and Bitcoin keeps struggling to gain momentum around $80K.
That’s not exactly the setup bulls want to see. 👀
$BTC → Bearish bias.
$75K is the first major level I’m watching. Lose it, and $70K or even lower could come back into play.
$ETH → Higher beta, higher risk.
If BTC breaks down, ETH could move even faster to the downside.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #OracleAICloudUp121% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow
🤫RATE-CUT HOPES ARE FADING QUICKLY.
PPI/CPI remain sticky, September hike expectations are rising, and BTC is already losing momentum near $80K.🚀🚀📊🎰
$BTC → Bearish bias. $75K is the first key test. Lose it, and $70K or lower comes into play.
$ETH → Higher beta, higher risk. If BTC breaks down, ETH could fall harder.
$ZEC → After such a massive run, profit-taking risk is increasing. I’m increasingly watching the bearish side.
#DailyOrbit
#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
BTCSpotETF450MOutflow
CME FedWatch tool, probability of a rate hike in September: 85%→90%.
Three days ago it was still fluctuating around 70%, but once the CPI data came out on Friday, it skyrocketed.
But what really gave me chills wasn’t this number.
It was Goldman Sachs.
Goldman Sachs changed its stance.
Previous judgment: maintain interest rates unchanged.
Here’s a cleaner, more punchy rewrite:
RATE-CUT OPTIMISM IS FADING FAST.
Sticky PPI/CPI data is keeping pressure on markets, while September rate-hike odds are climbing. BTC is also losing momentum around the $80K area. 📉📊
$BTC → Bearish setup. $75K is the first major support to watch. A breakdown could open the door toward $70K or even lower.
$ETH → Higher volatility, higher downside risk. If BTC weakens further, ETH could face an even sharper correction.