#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
About SeptHikeOddsHit90%
US August PPI rose 5.4% YoY above expectations; CPI rose 0.4% MoM with core CPI up 0.3% MoM, even as the annual core rate eased to 2.4%. CME rate futures now price a Sept 25bps hike at nearly 90%. Goldman Sachs shifted from no-hike to a Sept hike; TD Securities flagged a possible new tightening cycle. Risk assets held up: US equities and BTC showed resilience post-data. Market debate has moved from 'will they hike' to 'will they keep going'. FOMC drops Sept 16.
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$BTC is facing a tougher macro setup.
Bitcoin is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI keeps pressure on risk assets.
The 0.3% monthly increase shows inflation is still sticky, which could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
Elevated Treasury yields are also tightening financial conditions.
The key level remains $77K.
If $BTC holds it, a move back toward $78K–$80K could be next.
No need to chase. Let price confirm.#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
Follow-up to the BTC move
PPI came in hot.
CPI came in hot.
Rate-hike odds jumped close to 90%.
And BTC still bounced toward $79.8K before cooling back down.
So what is the market pricing in that we're missing? 👀
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #PPIandCPIWatch #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow
Follow-up to the BTC move
PPI came in hot.
CPI came in hot.
Rate-hike odds jumped close to 90%.
And BTC still bounced toward $79.8K before cooling back down.
So what is the market pricing in that we're missing? 👀#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121%
Liquidity is rotating, not leaving.
·$ETH ** +2.5%, ~$24.7B volume; **$BTC ** ~$34.6B volume; **$SOL** +2.7% to ~$102.
· $BTC** below MA20; **$ETH above $2,500; **$SOL ** near $102, resistance $107.
· CPI: core +0.3% m/m, 3.5% y/y — hotter than expected.
· Fed: ~90% odds of a 25bp hike in September.
· Liquidations: $623M in 24h, ~60% shorts.
📉 PPI & CPI are out — rate-hike expectations are rising.
Macro looks bearish, yet BTC pumped to $79.8K and ETH hit $2,666. Sounds bullish? Don’t rush.
BTC is back near $77.5K, ETH around $2.5K — classic pre-data pump → post-data profit-taking.
With liquidity still tight and SOL momentum weakening, the market may keep grinding lower.
BTC $77.5K | ETH $2.5K — watch the next few days closely.
Wait for rate-hike expectations to clear before making the next move.
#DailyOrbit
#PPI #CPI
After PPI and CPI, rate-hike expectations strengthened, yet $BTC bounced to $79.8K and $ETH hit $2,666.
Now BTC is back near $77.5K and ETH around $2.5K—a classic pre-data pump followed by profit-taking.
With liquidity still tight, I’d stay patient and wait for clearer Fed signals before making a move.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121%
Liquidity is rotating, not leaving.
·$ETH ** +2.5%, ~$24.7B volume; **$BTC ** ~$34.6B volume; **$SOL** +2.7% to ~$102.
· $BTC** below MA20; **$ETH above $2,500; **$SOL ** near $102, resistance $107.
· CPI: core +0.3% m/m, 3.5% y/y — hotter than expected.
· Fed: ~90% odds of a 25bp hike in September.
· Liquidations: $623M in 24h, ~60% shorts.
$BTC is facing a tougher macro setup.
Bitcoin is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI keeps pressure on risk assets.
The 0.3% monthly increase shows inflation is still sticky, which could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
Elevated Treasury yields are also tightening financial conditions.
The key level remains $77K.
If $BTC holds it, a move back toward $78K–$80K could be next.
No need to chase. Let price confirm.
#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
aaminhajj
BITCOIN FACES A TOUGHER MACRO SETUP
$BTC is hovering around the $77K area as hotter-than-expected August core CPI adds fresh pressure to the market.
The 0.3% monthly increase is keeping inflation concerns alive and could make the Fed more cautious on its next rate decision.
At the same time, elevated Treasury yields are tightening financial conditions, creating another hurdle for risk assets like Bitcoin.
The key level now is $77K
Hold it, and BTC could attempt a move back toward $78K–$80K
LIQUIDITY IS THE REAL BATTLE
$BTC $77.34K and $ETH $2.53K are caught between two opposing forces. Stable CPI data has increased bets on a September Fed rate hike, limiting short-term upside. But the story isn’t over: if the Treasury continues struggling to control yields and the Fed is forced to intervene more aggressively, liquidity could become a new catalyst for BTC.
The Fed is the headwind — but could the Fed itself become the engine behind the next breakout?
#OKXOrbitTopics
#DailyOrbit
the “wait, why isn't BTC dumping?” follow-up
Okay but here's what I don't understand 👀
PPI hot.
CPI hot.
September hike odds near 90%.
Yet BTC still managed to reclaim ~$79K before pulling back.
Is the hike already priced in… or is BTC showing more strength than people realize?
#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
#PPIandCPIWatch
#BTCSpotETF450MOutflow