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The Fed's September rate decision lands Sept 16 at 18:00 UTC. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and HSBC have shifted to a 25bps hike; 86 of 101 economists in a Reuters survey agree, market pricing near 90%. If delivered, fed funds moves to 3.75%-4.00%. Key data: August PPI 5.4% YoY, CPI 0.4% MoM. Goldman sees this as the Fed avoiding a pricing reversal rather than reacting to worsening fundamentals. Trump remains opposed. If the Fed holds, how it explains the inflation-policy gap will be watched.
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La vigilia della ripresa dei rialzi dei tassi da parte della Fed, il mercato continua a scommettere su un "colomba" di Walsh
Originale |Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)
Autore |Golem (@web3_golem)
La Federal Reserve annuncerà la decisione sui tassi il 16 settembre ora della costa est degli Stati Uniti (alle 2:00 del 17 settembre ora di Pechino). Secondo i dati pubblicati la scorsa settimana dal Bureau of Labor Statistics degli Stati Uniti, l'IPC core degli Stati Uniti è aumentato dello 0,3% su base mensile ad agosto, superiore alla previsione degli economisti dello 0,2%. Il mercato si aspet

🚨 CLARITY Act won’t pass, so $BTC is going to dump further.”
“FOMC is expected to hike rates tomorrow, so BTC will dump even harder.”
What they’re missing is that💹 markets price in expectations before the news actually hits. That’s why BTC is selling off ahead of the announcements.
By the time the headlines give everyone a reason to sell, the market may have already absorbed the move—and those late sellers could simply be selling into the bids that form the bottom.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek
FED DAY THE 25BPS ISN’T THE REAL STORY
Markets are heavily pricing a 25bps hike to 3.75%–4.00%.
The real focus:
• Dot Plot
• Vote split
• Warsh’s wording
Hawkish guidance could pressure risk assets. A softer “calibration” message could support them.
$BTC is already defensive near $76K, with heavy ETF outflows and liquidations.
2:00 PM ET: Fed decision.
2:30 PM ET: Warsh presser.
Watch the reaction closely.$ETH $ZEC @OKX中文 @OKX成长学院 #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #DailyOrbit
“CLARITY Act won’t pass, so $BTC is going to dump further.”
“FOMC is expected to hike rates tomorrow, so BTC will dump even harder.”
What they’re missing is that markets price in expectations before the news actually hits. That’s why BTC is selling off ahead of the announcements.
By the time the headlines give everyone a reason to sell, the market may have already absorbed the move—and those late sellers could simply be selling into the bids that form the bottom.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek

“The Clarity Act won’t pass, so $BTC is going to dump further.”
“A rate hike is expected tomorrow with FOMC, so BTC is going to dump even more.”
Little do they know, the market has already priced in those expectations. That’s why it’s dumping BEFORE the news is released.
By the time the news gives the crowd a reason to sell, they are already selling into the very bids that mark the bottom.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49
🚨 FED DAY | THE RATE IS ONLY PART OF THE SIGNAL
Markets are watching a 25bps move, but the bigger volatility trigger may come from what the Fed says next.
👀 Focus areas:
• Dot plot → where rates could head
• Vote split → how divided the committee is
• Powell/Warsh messaging → how durable the policy path looks
$BTC is hovering around $75.8K as ETF selling and liquidations keep risk appetite fragile.
A hawkish tone could keep pressure on crypto, while a more measured message could give $BTC and $ETH room to stabilize.
⏰ Decision: 2:00 PM ET
🎙️ Press conference: 2:30 PM ET
No need to predict the headline. Watch price, volume and liquidity react first.
$ETH $SOL $ZEC @OKX中文 @OKX成长学院
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #DailyOrbit #CryptoMarket
92.4%! Markets are heavily pricing a 25bp September rate hike.
The bigger risk is what comes next: October expectations are also pointing toward further tightening, keeping pressure on liquidity and risk assets.
For $BTC and $ETH, the key isn’t just the hike—it’s the Fed’s guidance. A hawkish tone could add selling pressure, while a less-hawkish message may ease some of the pressure.
#本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates

Crypto Market Update Sept. 15
Crypto is turning defensive ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC decision, while the CLARITY Act just suffered a major Senate setback.
$BTC around $76K–$77K
$76K is the key floor. Lose it decisively and downside risk increases. Reclaim $78K, then $80K, and the structure improves.#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
This time it's really different.
Originally, the market was still betting on "no change," but in the past few days expectations suddenly reversed, and now the market has priced in a 25 basis point rate hike at a very high level.
On September 15-16, the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will take place. What’s really worth watching is not "whether to raise rates," but: after the rate hike, will they continue to raise?#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
🚨 $BTC ENTERS THE FED DECISION WITH $75K IN FOCUS
Bitcoin is hovering near $75.8K after yesterday’s sharp sell-off, with markets pricing around a 93% chance of a 25-bps Fed hike today.
The bigger question is the Fed’s guidance. A hawkish tone could pressure risk assets, while softer signals may shift market sentiment quickly.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49
Brothers, today's market basically digested the pressure from the news.
With the FOMC approaching, the market is trading ahead on rate hike expectations, combined with high US Treasury yields and oil prices, US stocks weakened, and risk assets are generally under pressure. $BTC has fallen all the way back to around 75,000, $ETH also dropped to around 2350, and the blockage of the CLARITY Act further amplified market sentiment#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates
